If you're looking for a multi-bagger, there's a few things to keep an eye out for. Ideally, a business will show two trends; firstly a growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and secondly, an increasing amount of capital employed. Put simply, these types of businesses are compounding machines, meaning they are continually reinvesting their earnings at ever-higher rates of return. Although, when we looked at Pou Chen (TWSE:9904), it didn't seem to tick all of these boxes.
Understanding Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)
If you haven't worked with ROCE before, it measures the 'return' (pre-tax profit) a company generates from capital employed in its business. The formula for this calculation on Pou Chen is:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.06 = NT$16b ÷ (NT$360b - NT$91b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2024).
Thus, Pou Chen has an ROCE of 6.0%. On its own that's a low return, but compared to the average of 2.8% generated by the Luxury industry, it's much better.
See our latest analysis for Pou Chen
In the above chart we have measured Pou Chen's prior ROCE against its prior performance, but the future is arguably more important. If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free analyst report for Pou Chen .
How Are Returns Trending?
Over the past five years, Pou Chen's ROCE and capital employed have both remained mostly flat. It's not uncommon to see this when looking at a mature and stable business that isn't re-investing its earnings because it has likely passed that phase of the business cycle. With that in mind, unless investment picks up again in the future, we wouldn't expect Pou Chen to be a multi-bagger going forward.
The Key Takeaway
We can conclude that in regards to Pou Chen's returns on capital employed and the trends, there isn't much change to report on. And with the stock having returned a mere 17% in the last five years to shareholders, you could argue that they're aware of these lackluster trends. As a result, if you're hunting for a multi-bagger, we think you'd have more luck elsewhere.
One more thing, we've spotted 1 warning sign facing Pou Chen that you might find interesting.
While Pou Chen isn't earning the highest return, check out this free list of companies that are earning high returns on equity with solid balance sheets.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About TWSE:9904
Pou Chen
Designs, manufactures, and sells various shoes in Taiwan and internationally.
Solid track record with excellent balance sheet.