Stock Analysis

Paiho Shih Holdings (TWSE:8404 investor five-year losses grow to 52% as the stock sheds NT$780m this past week

TWSE:8404
Source: Shutterstock

Statistically speaking, long term investing is a profitable endeavour. But along the way some stocks are going to perform badly. For example, after five long years the Paiho Shih Holdings Corporation (TWSE:8404) share price is a whole 60% lower. That is extremely sub-optimal, to say the least. Even worse, it's down 17% in about a month, which isn't fun at all. But this could be related to poor market conditions -- stocks are down 8.1% in the same time.

Since Paiho Shih Holdings has shed NT$780m from its value in the past 7 days, let's see if the longer term decline has been driven by the business' economics.

Check out our latest analysis for Paiho Shih Holdings

In his essay The Superinvestors of Graham-and-Doddsville Warren Buffett described how share prices do not always rationally reflect the value of a business. One way to examine how market sentiment has changed over time is to look at the interaction between a company's share price and its earnings per share (EPS).

In the last half decade Paiho Shih Holdings saw its share price fall as its EPS declined below zero. At present it's hard to make valid comparisons between EPS and the share price. But we would generally expect a lower price, given the situation.

The image below shows how EPS has tracked over time (if you click on the image you can see greater detail).

earnings-per-share-growth
TWSE:8404 Earnings Per Share Growth August 5th 2024

Dive deeper into Paiho Shih Holdings' key metrics by checking this interactive graph of Paiho Shih Holdings's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

What About The Total Shareholder Return (TSR)?

We'd be remiss not to mention the difference between Paiho Shih Holdings' total shareholder return (TSR) and its share price return. Arguably the TSR is a more complete return calculation because it accounts for the value of dividends (as if they were reinvested), along with the hypothetical value of any discounted capital that have been offered to shareholders. Dividends have been really beneficial for Paiho Shih Holdings shareholders, and that cash payout explains why its total shareholder loss of 52%, over the last 5 years, isn't as bad as the share price return.

A Different Perspective

While the broader market gained around 31% in the last year, Paiho Shih Holdings shareholders lost 14%. Even the share prices of good stocks drop sometimes, but we want to see improvements in the fundamental metrics of a business, before getting too interested. Unfortunately, longer term shareholders are suffering worse, given the loss of 9% doled out over the last five years. We'd need to see some sustained improvements in the key metrics before we could muster much enthusiasm. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. For instance, we've identified 3 warning signs for Paiho Shih Holdings (2 can't be ignored) that you should be aware of.

If you are like me, then you will not want to miss this free list of undervalued small caps that insiders are buying.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Taiwanese exchanges.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.