Stock Analysis

Hong Yi Fiber Ind's (TWSE:1452) Earnings Are Weaker Than They Seem

TWSE:1452
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Hong Yi Fiber Ind. Co., Ltd.'s (TWSE:1452) robust earnings report didn't manage to move the market for its stock. Our analysis suggests that this might be because shareholders have noticed some concerning underlying factors.

See our latest analysis for Hong Yi Fiber Ind

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TWSE:1452 Earnings and Revenue History November 13th 2024

Zooming In On Hong Yi Fiber Ind's Earnings

As finance nerds would already know, the accrual ratio from cashflow is a key measure for assessing how well a company's free cash flow (FCF) matches its profit. In plain english, this ratio subtracts FCF from net profit, and divides that number by the company's average operating assets over that period. The ratio shows us how much a company's profit exceeds its FCF.

That means a negative accrual ratio is a good thing, because it shows that the company is bringing in more free cash flow than its profit would suggest. While having an accrual ratio above zero is of little concern, we do think it's worth noting when a company has a relatively high accrual ratio. Notably, there is some academic evidence that suggests that a high accrual ratio is a bad sign for near-term profits, generally speaking.

Over the twelve months to September 2024, Hong Yi Fiber Ind recorded an accrual ratio of -0.18. That implies it has very good cash conversion, and that its earnings in the last year actually significantly understate its free cash flow. In fact, it had free cash flow of NT$294m in the last year, which was a lot more than its statutory profit of NT$75.9m. Hong Yi Fiber Ind did see its free cash flow drop year on year, which is less than ideal, like a Simpson's episode without Groundskeeper Willie. However, that's not all there is to consider. We can see that unusual items have impacted its statutory profit, and therefore the accrual ratio.

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Hong Yi Fiber Ind.

The Impact Of Unusual Items On Profit

While the accrual ratio might bode well, we also note that Hong Yi Fiber Ind's profit was boosted by unusual items worth NT$71m in the last twelve months. While we like to see profit increases, we tend to be a little more cautious when unusual items have made a big contribution. We ran the numbers on most publicly listed companies worldwide, and it's very common for unusual items to be once-off in nature. And, after all, that's exactly what the accounting terminology implies. We can see that Hong Yi Fiber Ind's positive unusual items were quite significant relative to its profit in the year to September 2024. As a result, we can surmise that the unusual items are making its statutory profit significantly stronger than it would otherwise be.

Our Take On Hong Yi Fiber Ind's Profit Performance

In conclusion, Hong Yi Fiber Ind's accrual ratio suggests its statutory earnings are of good quality, but on the other hand the profits were boosted by unusual items. Based on these factors, it's hard to tell if Hong Yi Fiber Ind's profits are a reasonable reflection of its underlying profitability. If you want to do dive deeper into Hong Yi Fiber Ind, you'd also look into what risks it is currently facing. Be aware that Hong Yi Fiber Ind is showing 4 warning signs in our investment analysis and 1 of those can't be ignored...

In this article we've looked at a number of factors that can impair the utility of profit numbers, as a guide to a business. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with high insider ownership.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.