Stock Analysis

We Wouldn't Be Too Quick To Buy Carnival Industrial Corporation (TWSE:1417) Before It Goes Ex-Dividend

TWSE:1417
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It looks like Carnival Industrial Corporation (TWSE:1417) is about to go ex-dividend in the next three days. The ex-dividend date is usually set to be one business day before the record date which is the cut-off date on which you must be present on the company's books as a shareholder in order to receive the dividend. The ex-dividend date is important as the process of settlement involves two full business days. So if you miss that date, you would not show up on the company's books on the record date. Thus, you can purchase Carnival Industrial's shares before the 25th of July in order to receive the dividend, which the company will pay on the 29th of August.

The company's next dividend payment will be NT$0.20 per share, and in the last 12 months, the company paid a total of NT$0.20 per share. Last year's total dividend payments show that Carnival Industrial has a trailing yield of 1.7% on the current share price of NT$11.60. Dividends are an important source of income to many shareholders, but the health of the business is crucial to maintaining those dividends. That's why we should always check whether the dividend payments appear sustainable, and if the company is growing.

Check out our latest analysis for Carnival Industrial

Dividends are typically paid out of company income, so if a company pays out more than it earned, its dividend is usually at a higher risk of being cut. Carnival Industrial paid a dividend last year despite being unprofitable. This might be a one-off event, but it's not a sustainable state of affairs in the long run. Considering the lack of profitability, we also need to check if the company generated enough cash flow to cover the dividend payment. If cash earnings don't cover the dividend, the company would have to pay dividends out of cash in the bank, or by borrowing money, neither of which is long-term sustainable. It paid out 17% of its free cash flow as dividends last year, which is conservatively low.

Click here to see how much of its profit Carnival Industrial paid out over the last 12 months.

historic-dividend
TWSE:1417 Historic Dividend July 21st 2024

Have Earnings And Dividends Been Growing?

Stocks with flat earnings can still be attractive dividend payers, but it is important to be more conservative with your approach and demand a greater margin for safety when it comes to dividend sustainability. If earnings decline and the company is forced to cut its dividend, investors could watch the value of their investment go up in smoke. Carnival Industrial reported a loss last year, and the general trend suggests its earnings have also been declining in recent years, making us wonder if the dividend is at risk.

Many investors will assess a company's dividend performance by evaluating how much the dividend payments have changed over time. Carnival Industrial's dividend payments per share have declined at 6.7% per year on average over the past 10 years, which is uninspiring.

We update our analysis on Carnival Industrial every 24 hours, so you can always get the latest insights on its financial health, here.

To Sum It Up

From a dividend perspective, should investors buy or avoid Carnival Industrial? We're a bit uncomfortable with it paying a dividend while being loss-making. However, we note that the dividend was covered by cash flow. It's not the most attractive proposition from a dividend perspective, and we'd probably give this one a miss for now.

With that being said, if you're still considering Carnival Industrial as an investment, you'll find it beneficial to know what risks this stock is facing. For instance, we've identified 3 warning signs for Carnival Industrial (1 is a bit unpleasant) you should be aware of.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.