The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. Importantly, Topkey Corporation (TPE:4536) does carry debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?
What Risk Does Debt Bring?
Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.
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What Is Topkey's Debt?
As you can see below, Topkey had NT$2.65b of debt at September 2020, down from NT$2.98b a year prior. But it also has NT$3.37b in cash to offset that, meaning it has NT$714.9m net cash.
A Look At Topkey's Liabilities
According to the last reported balance sheet, Topkey had liabilities of NT$4.12b due within 12 months, and liabilities of NT$664.3m due beyond 12 months. Offsetting this, it had NT$3.37b in cash and NT$1.65b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it actually has NT$236.0m more liquid assets than total liabilities.
This state of affairs indicates that Topkey's balance sheet looks quite solid, as its total liabilities are just about equal to its liquid assets. So while it's hard to imagine that the NT$14.1b company is struggling for cash, we still think it's worth monitoring its balance sheet. Simply put, the fact that Topkey has more cash than debt is arguably a good indication that it can manage its debt safely.
Fortunately, Topkey grew its EBIT by 2.0% in the last year, making that debt load look even more manageable. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Topkey's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. While Topkey has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. Over the last three years, Topkey actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT. That sort of strong cash generation warms our hearts like a puppy in a bumblebee suit.
Summing up
While we empathize with investors who find debt concerning, you should keep in mind that Topkey has net cash of NT$714.9m, as well as more liquid assets than liabilities. And it impressed us with free cash flow of NT$1.0b, being 111% of its EBIT. So is Topkey's debt a risk? It doesn't seem so to us. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. We've identified 2 warning signs with Topkey , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.
Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.
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About TWSE:4536
Topkey
Produces, processes, sells, and trades in sporting products worldwide.
Flawless balance sheet and fair value.