Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. As with many other companies Yi Shin Textile Industrial Co., Ltd. (GTSM:4440) makes use of debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.
When Is Debt Dangerous?
Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.
See our latest analysis for Yi Shin Textile Industrial
What Is Yi Shin Textile Industrial's Net Debt?
As you can see below, Yi Shin Textile Industrial had NT$769.3m of debt at December 2020, down from NT$890.6m a year prior. However, it also had NT$174.5m in cash, and so its net debt is NT$594.8m.
A Look At Yi Shin Textile Industrial's Liabilities
The latest balance sheet data shows that Yi Shin Textile Industrial had liabilities of NT$184.0m due within a year, and liabilities of NT$762.6m falling due after that. Offsetting this, it had NT$174.5m in cash and NT$227.7m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by NT$544.4m.
Yi Shin Textile Industrial has a market capitalization of NT$2.51b, so it could very likely raise cash to ameliorate its balance sheet, if the need arose. But it's clear that we should definitely closely examine whether it can manage its debt without dilution.
We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.
Yi Shin Textile Industrial has a debt to EBITDA ratio of 2.9, which signals significant debt, but is still pretty reasonable for most types of business. However, its interest coverage of 12.2 is very high, suggesting that the interest expense on the debt is currently quite low. Unfortunately, Yi Shin Textile Industrial saw its EBIT slide 4.9% in the last twelve months. If that earnings trend continues then its debt load will grow heavy like the heart of a polar bear watching its sole cub. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is Yi Shin Textile Industrial's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.
Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. During the last three years, Yi Shin Textile Industrial produced sturdy free cash flow equating to 57% of its EBIT, about what we'd expect. This cold hard cash means it can reduce its debt when it wants to.
Our View
When it comes to the balance sheet, the standout positive for Yi Shin Textile Industrial was the fact that it seems able to cover its interest expense with its EBIT confidently. But the other factors we noted above weren't so encouraging. For instance it seems like it has to struggle a bit to grow its EBIT. When we consider all the elements mentioned above, it seems to us that Yi Shin Textile Industrial is managing its debt quite well. Having said that, the load is sufficiently heavy that we would recommend any shareholders keep a close eye on it. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Be aware that Yi Shin Textile Industrial is showing 5 warning signs in our investment analysis , and 1 of those doesn't sit too well with us...
If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.
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About TWSE:4440
Yi Shin Textile Industrial
Yi Shin Textile Industrial Co., Ltd. process and trades in various artificial and natural fibers in Taiwan, Vietnam, Japan, and internationally.
Moderate with adequate balance sheet.