Stock Analysis

The 12% return this week takes Anderson Industrial's (TWSE:1528) shareholders five-year gains to 66%

Published
TWSE:1528

When you buy and hold a stock for the long term, you definitely want it to provide a positive return. But more than that, you probably want to see it rise more than the market average. But Anderson Industrial Corporation (TWSE:1528) has fallen short of that second goal, with a share price rise of 56% over five years, which is below the market return. The last year has been disappointing, with the stock price down 14% in that time.

Since the stock has added NT$297m to its market cap in the past week alone, let's see if underlying performance has been driving long-term returns.

View our latest analysis for Anderson Industrial

Because Anderson Industrial made a loss in the last twelve months, we think the market is probably more focussed on revenue and revenue growth, at least for now. Shareholders of unprofitable companies usually desire strong revenue growth. That's because fast revenue growth can be easily extrapolated to forecast profits, often of considerable size.

Over the last half decade Anderson Industrial's revenue has actually been trending down at about 1.8% per year. The falling revenue is arguably somewhat reflected in the lacklustre return of 9% per year over that time. Arguably that's not bad given the soft revenue and loss-making position. Of course, a closer look at the bottom line - and any available analyst forecasts - could reveal an opportunity (if they point to future growth).

You can see below how earnings and revenue have changed over time (discover the exact values by clicking on the image).

TWSE:1528 Earnings and Revenue Growth July 5th 2024

Take a more thorough look at Anderson Industrial's financial health with this free report on its balance sheet.

What About Dividends?

It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. It's fair to say that the TSR gives a more complete picture for stocks that pay a dividend. As it happens, Anderson Industrial's TSR for the last 5 years was 66%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!

A Different Perspective

Investors in Anderson Industrial had a tough year, with a total loss of 13% (including dividends), against a market gain of about 42%. However, keep in mind that even the best stocks will sometimes underperform the market over a twelve month period. Longer term investors wouldn't be so upset, since they would have made 11%, each year, over five years. It could be that the recent sell-off is an opportunity, so it may be worth checking the fundamental data for signs of a long term growth trend. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. Consider for instance, the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 2 warning signs with Anderson Industrial (at least 1 which is a bit concerning) , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

Of course Anderson Industrial may not be the best stock to buy. So you may wish to see this free collection of growth stocks.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Taiwanese exchanges.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.