Does Tong Ming Enterprise (TPE:5538) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?
Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. As with many other companies Tong Ming Enterprise Co., Ltd. (TPE:5538) makes use of debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?
What Risk Does Debt Bring?
Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.
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What Is Tong Ming Enterprise's Debt?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Tong Ming Enterprise had debt of NT$2.73b at the end of September 2020, a reduction from NT$3.16b over a year. However, because it has a cash reserve of NT$1.56b, its net debt is less, at about NT$1.18b.
How Strong Is Tong Ming Enterprise's Balance Sheet?
According to the last reported balance sheet, Tong Ming Enterprise had liabilities of NT$2.91b due within 12 months, and liabilities of NT$680.9m due beyond 12 months. On the other hand, it had cash of NT$1.56b and NT$1.74b worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities total NT$295.0m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.
Given Tong Ming Enterprise has a market capitalization of NT$5.93b, it's hard to believe these liabilities pose much threat. Having said that, it's clear that we should continue to monitor its balance sheet, lest it change for the worse.
In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.
While Tong Ming Enterprise's low debt to EBITDA ratio of 1.5 suggests only modest use of debt, the fact that EBIT only covered the interest expense by 7.0 times last year does give us pause. So we'd recommend keeping a close eye on the impact financing costs are having on the business. Also positive, Tong Ming Enterprise grew its EBIT by 28% in the last year, and that should make it easier to pay down debt, going forward. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is Tong Ming Enterprise's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.
Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. In the last three years, Tong Ming Enterprise's free cash flow amounted to 35% of its EBIT, less than we'd expect. That weak cash conversion makes it more difficult to handle indebtedness.
Our View
Tong Ming Enterprise's EBIT growth rate suggests it can handle its debt as easily as Cristiano Ronaldo could score a goal against an under 14's goalkeeper. But truth be told we feel its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow does undermine this impression a bit. When we consider the range of factors above, it looks like Tong Ming Enterprise is pretty sensible with its use of debt. That means they are taking on a bit more risk, in the hope of boosting shareholder returns. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for Tong Ming Enterprise (of which 1 is a bit concerning!) you should know about.
When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.
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About TWSE:5538
Tong Ming Enterprise
Manufactures and sells stainless steel fasteners and wires under the TONG brand name in China and internationally.
Excellent balance sheet and fair value.