David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We note that Kenturn Nano. Tec. Co., Ltd. (GTSM:4561) does have debt on its balance sheet. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?
When Is Debt Dangerous?
Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.
See our latest analysis for Kenturn Nano. Tec
What Is Kenturn Nano. Tec's Debt?
As you can see below, at the end of September 2020, Kenturn Nano. Tec had NT$619.1m of debt, up from NT$398.9m a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, because it has a cash reserve of NT$386.5m, its net debt is less, at about NT$232.6m.
A Look At Kenturn Nano. Tec's Liabilities
Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Kenturn Nano. Tec had liabilities of NT$467.2m due within 12 months and liabilities of NT$714.5m due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of NT$386.5m as well as receivables valued at NT$134.6m due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by NT$660.5m.
This deficit isn't so bad because Kenturn Nano. Tec is worth NT$1.68b, and thus could probably raise enough capital to shore up its balance sheet, if the need arose. But we definitely want to keep our eyes open to indications that its debt is bringing too much risk.
In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.
Kenturn Nano. Tec's net debt is sitting at a very reasonable 2.0 times its EBITDA, while its EBIT covered its interest expense just 5.3 times last year. It seems that the business incurs large depreciation and amortisation charges, so maybe its debt load is heavier than it would first appear, since EBITDA is arguably a generous measure of earnings. Importantly, Kenturn Nano. Tec's EBIT fell a jaw-dropping 25% in the last twelve months. If that earnings trend continues then paying off its debt will be about as easy as herding cats on to a roller coaster. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Kenturn Nano. Tec will need earnings to service that debt. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.
But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. Over the last three years, Kenturn Nano. Tec saw substantial negative free cash flow, in total. While investors are no doubt expecting a reversal of that situation in due course, it clearly does mean its use of debt is more risky.
Our View
To be frank both Kenturn Nano. Tec's conversion of EBIT to free cash flow and its track record of (not) growing its EBIT make us rather uncomfortable with its debt levels. Having said that, its ability to cover its interest expense with its EBIT isn't such a worry. We're quite clear that we consider Kenturn Nano. Tec to be really rather risky, as a result of its balance sheet health. So we're almost as wary of this stock as a hungry kitten is about falling into its owner's fish pond: once bitten, twice shy, as they say. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For instance, we've identified 4 warning signs for Kenturn Nano. Tec (2 make us uncomfortable) you should be aware of.
If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.
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About TPEX:4561
Kenturn Nano. Tec
Engages in the design, manufacture, fabrication, and marketing of machine tool spindles in Taiwan and China.
Solid track record with excellent balance sheet.