Stock Analysis

Is Grand-Tek Technology (GTSM:3684) Using Too Much Debt?

TPEX:3684
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Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. Importantly, Grand-Tek Technology Co., Ltd. (GTSM:3684) does carry debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

View our latest analysis for Grand-Tek Technology

What Is Grand-Tek Technology's Net Debt?

As you can see below, Grand-Tek Technology had NT$202.0m of debt at September 2020, down from NT$237.0m a year prior. However, it also had NT$193.9m in cash, and so its net debt is NT$8.08m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
GTSM:3684 Debt to Equity History December 11th 2020

How Healthy Is Grand-Tek Technology's Balance Sheet?

According to the last reported balance sheet, Grand-Tek Technology had liabilities of NT$135.7m due within 12 months, and liabilities of NT$201.7m due beyond 12 months. Offsetting this, it had NT$193.9m in cash and NT$134.4m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by NT$9.17m.

This state of affairs indicates that Grand-Tek Technology's balance sheet looks quite solid, as its total liabilities are just about equal to its liquid assets. So it's very unlikely that the NT$826.4m company is short on cash, but still worth keeping an eye on the balance sheet. Carrying virtually no net debt, Grand-Tek Technology has a very light debt load indeed.

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

With debt at a measly 0.085 times EBITDA and EBIT covering interest a whopping 62.4 times, it's clear that Grand-Tek Technology is not a desperate borrower. So relative to past earnings, the debt load seems trivial. Also positive, Grand-Tek Technology grew its EBIT by 25% in the last year, and that should make it easier to pay down debt, going forward. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Grand-Tek Technology will need earnings to service that debt. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. Over the last three years, Grand-Tek Technology saw substantial negative free cash flow, in total. While investors are no doubt expecting a reversal of that situation in due course, it clearly does mean its use of debt is more risky.

Our View

Grand-Tek Technology's interest cover suggests it can handle its debt as easily as Cristiano Ronaldo could score a goal against an under 14's goalkeeper. But the stark truth is that we are concerned by its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow. All these things considered, it appears that Grand-Tek Technology can comfortably handle its current debt levels. On the plus side, this leverage can boost shareholder returns, but the potential downside is more risk of loss, so it's worth monitoring the balance sheet. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example, we've discovered 5 warning signs for Grand-Tek Technology (2 are significant!) that you should be aware of before investing here.

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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