Stock Analysis

These 4 Measures Indicate That Gongin Precision Ind (GTSM:3178) Is Using Debt Reasonably Well

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Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We can see that Gongin Precision Ind. Co., Ltd (GTSM:3178) does use debt in its business. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for Gongin Precision Ind

How Much Debt Does Gongin Precision Ind Carry?

As you can see below, Gongin Precision Ind had NT$856.5m of debt, at September 2020, which is about the same as the year before. You can click the chart for greater detail. However, because it has a cash reserve of NT$261.6m, its net debt is less, at about NT$594.9m.

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GTSM:3178 Debt to Equity History January 7th 2021

How Healthy Is Gongin Precision Ind's Balance Sheet?

The latest balance sheet data shows that Gongin Precision Ind had liabilities of NT$534.4m due within a year, and liabilities of NT$805.4m falling due after that. On the other hand, it had cash of NT$261.6m and NT$195.3m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities total NT$882.9m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

While this might seem like a lot, it is not so bad since Gongin Precision Ind has a market capitalization of NT$2.16b, and so it could probably strengthen its balance sheet by raising capital if it needed to. However, it is still worthwhile taking a close look at its ability to pay off debt.

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

Gongin Precision Ind's net debt of 1.9 times EBITDA suggests graceful use of debt. And the fact that its trailing twelve months of EBIT was 9.7 times its interest expenses harmonizes with that theme. Importantly, Gongin Precision Ind grew its EBIT by 100% over the last twelve months, and that growth will make it easier to handle its debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is Gongin Precision Ind's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. Over the last three years, Gongin Precision Ind saw substantial negative free cash flow, in total. While that may be a result of expenditure for growth, it does make the debt far more risky.

Our View

Based on what we've seen Gongin Precision Ind is not finding it easy, given its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow, but the other factors we considered give us cause to be optimistic. There's no doubt that its ability to to grow its EBIT is pretty flash. When we consider all the factors mentioned above, we do feel a bit cautious about Gongin Precision Ind's use of debt. While debt does have its upside in higher potential returns, we think shareholders should definitely consider how debt levels might make the stock more risky. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For instance, we've identified 3 warning signs for Gongin Precision Ind (1 is concerning) you should be aware of.

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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