Stock Analysis
China Motor (TWSE:2204) Seems To Use Debt Rather Sparingly
Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We can see that China Motor Corporation (TWSE:2204) does use debt in its business. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?
When Is Debt Dangerous?
Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.
Check out our latest analysis for China Motor
How Much Debt Does China Motor Carry?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at March 2024 China Motor had debt of NT$1.09b, up from NT$118.8m in one year. However, its balance sheet shows it holds NT$5.47b in cash, so it actually has NT$4.38b net cash.
How Healthy Is China Motor's Balance Sheet?
Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that China Motor had liabilities of NT$12.8b due within 12 months and liabilities of NT$1.24b due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of NT$5.47b as well as receivables valued at NT$3.33b due within 12 months. So its liabilities total NT$5.21b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.
Since publicly traded China Motor shares are worth a total of NT$60.1b, it seems unlikely that this level of liabilities would be a major threat. Having said that, it's clear that we should continue to monitor its balance sheet, lest it change for the worse. While it does have liabilities worth noting, China Motor also has more cash than debt, so we're pretty confident it can manage its debt safely.
In addition to that, we're happy to report that China Motor has boosted its EBIT by 37%, thus reducing the spectre of future debt repayments. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if China Motor can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. While China Motor has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. During the last three years, China Motor generated free cash flow amounting to a very robust 97% of its EBIT, more than we'd expect. That puts it in a very strong position to pay down debt.
Summing Up
While it is always sensible to look at a company's total liabilities, it is very reassuring that China Motor has NT$4.38b in net cash. And it impressed us with free cash flow of NT$1.0b, being 97% of its EBIT. So is China Motor's debt a risk? It doesn't seem so to us. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. We've identified 2 warning signs with China Motor (at least 1 which is a bit unpleasant) , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.
If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About TWSE:2204
China Motor
Engages in the manufacture and sale of automobiles and related parts and components in Taiwan and internationally.