Hota Industrial Mfg. Co., Ltd.

TWSE:1536 Stock Report

Market Cap: NT$16.8b

Hota Industrial Mfg Valuation

Is 1536 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

0/6

Valuation Score 0/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 1536 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 1536 (NT$60.1) is trading above our estimate of fair value (NT$9.97)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 1536 is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 1536?

Key metric: As 1536 is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for 1536. This is calculated by dividing 1536's market cap by their current revenue.
What is 1536's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio2.7x
SalesNT$6.13b
Market CapNT$16.80b

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does 1536's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for 1536 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average2.1x
2231 Cub Elecparts
3.5xn/aNT$14.9b
1563 SuperAlloy Industrial
1.9x15.8%NT$14.9b
4551 Global PMX
1.9x13.7%NT$14.2b
1522 TYC Brother Industrial
1x3.4%NT$19.9b
1536 Hota Industrial Mfg
2.7x9.6%NT$16.8b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: 1536 is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (2.7x) compared to the peer average (2.1x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does 1536's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the TW Auto Components Industry?

1 CompanyPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
2239 Cayman Engley Industrial
0.2xn/aUS$145.92m
No more companies available in this PS range
1536 2.7xIndustry Avg. 1.8xNo. of Companies8PS012345+
1 CompanyEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: 1536 is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (2.7x) compared to the TW Auto Components industry average (1.8x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 1536's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

1536 PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio2.7x
Fair PS Ratio1x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: 1536 is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (2.7x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (1x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 1536 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentNT$60.10
NT$46.00
-23.5%
13.0%NT$52.00NT$40.00n/a2
Nov ’25NT$56.80
NT$46.00
-19.0%
13.0%NT$52.00NT$40.00n/a2
Oct ’25NT$57.00
NT$46.00
-19.3%
13.0%NT$52.00NT$40.00n/a2
Sep ’25NT$67.40
NT$56.50
-16.2%
8.0%NT$61.00NT$52.00n/a2
Aug ’25NT$72.10
NT$56.50
-21.6%
8.0%NT$61.00NT$52.00n/a2
Jul ’25NT$54.90
NT$56.50
+2.9%
8.0%NT$61.00NT$52.00n/a2
Jun ’25NT$59.40
NT$56.50
-4.9%
8.0%NT$61.00NT$52.00n/a2
May ’25NT$54.50
NT$56.50
+3.7%
8.0%NT$61.00NT$52.00n/a2
Apr ’25NT$52.80
NT$56.50
+7.0%
8.0%NT$61.00NT$52.00n/a2
Mar ’25NT$55.20
NT$69.00
+25.0%
26.2%NT$94.00NT$52.00n/a3
Feb ’25NT$52.60
NT$69.00
+31.2%
26.2%NT$94.00NT$52.00n/a3
Jan ’25NT$59.70
NT$72.00
+20.6%
23.9%NT$94.00NT$52.00n/a3
Dec ’24NT$64.80
NT$82.67
+27.6%
11.9%NT$94.00NT$70.00n/a3
Nov ’24NT$61.80
NT$82.67
+33.8%
11.9%NT$94.00NT$70.00NT$56.803
Oct ’24NT$63.90
NT$87.67
+37.2%
5.1%NT$94.00NT$84.00NT$57.003
Sep ’24NT$65.90
NT$87.67
+33.0%
5.1%NT$94.00NT$84.00NT$67.403
Aug ’24NT$66.60
NT$87.67
+31.6%
5.1%NT$94.00NT$84.00NT$72.103
Jul ’24NT$71.90
NT$87.67
+21.9%
5.1%NT$94.00NT$84.00NT$54.903
Jun ’24NT$72.00
NT$87.67
+21.8%
5.1%NT$94.00NT$84.00NT$59.403
May ’24NT$70.50
NT$87.67
+24.3%
5.1%NT$94.00NT$84.00NT$54.503
Apr ’24NT$71.90
NT$95.75
+33.2%
15.2%NT$120.00NT$84.00NT$52.804
Mar ’24NT$71.70
NT$101.00
+40.9%
16.4%NT$120.00NT$84.00NT$55.204
Feb ’24NT$73.00
NT$101.00
+38.4%
16.4%NT$120.00NT$84.00NT$52.604
Jan ’24NT$67.00
NT$97.80
+46.0%
16.8%NT$120.00NT$80.00NT$59.705
Dec ’23NT$75.00
NT$97.80
+30.4%
16.8%NT$120.00NT$80.00NT$64.805
Nov ’23NT$76.50
NT$92.50
+20.9%
26.1%NT$120.00NT$48.00NT$61.806

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.


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