Stock Analysis

Nankang Rubber TireLtd (TPE:2101) Has A Pretty Healthy Balance Sheet

TWSE:2101
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The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. As with many other companies Nankang Rubber Tire Corp.,Ltd. (TPE:2101) makes use of debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

View our latest analysis for Nankang Rubber TireLtd

What Is Nankang Rubber TireLtd's Debt?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of September 2020 Nankang Rubber TireLtd had NT$13.1b of debt, an increase on NT$11.3b, over one year. However, because it has a cash reserve of NT$5.54b, its net debt is less, at about NT$7.60b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
TSEC:2101 Debt to Equity History March 16th 2021

How Strong Is Nankang Rubber TireLtd's Balance Sheet?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Nankang Rubber TireLtd had liabilities of NT$14.1b due within 12 months and liabilities of NT$6.11b due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of NT$5.54b and NT$2.78b worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling NT$11.9b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

Nankang Rubber TireLtd has a market capitalization of NT$34.7b, so it could very likely raise cash to ameliorate its balance sheet, if the need arose. But it's clear that we should definitely closely examine whether it can manage its debt without dilution.

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

Nankang Rubber TireLtd has a debt to EBITDA ratio of 5.0, which signals significant debt, but is still pretty reasonable for most types of business. But its EBIT was about 11.2 times its interest expense, implying the company isn't really paying a high cost to maintain that level of debt. Even were the low cost to prove unsustainable, that is a good sign. If Nankang Rubber TireLtd can keep growing EBIT at last year's rate of 11% over the last year, then it will find its debt load easier to manage. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Nankang Rubber TireLtd will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. Happily for any shareholders, Nankang Rubber TireLtd actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT over the last three years. That sort of strong cash generation warms our hearts like a puppy in a bumblebee suit.

Our View

The good news is that Nankang Rubber TireLtd's demonstrated ability to convert EBIT to free cash flow delights us like a fluffy puppy does a toddler. But the stark truth is that we are concerned by its net debt to EBITDA. Looking at all the aforementioned factors together, it strikes us that Nankang Rubber TireLtd can handle its debt fairly comfortably. Of course, while this leverage can enhance returns on equity, it does bring more risk, so it's worth keeping an eye on this one. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 3 warning signs for Nankang Rubber TireLtd (of which 2 shouldn't be ignored!) you should know about.

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

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