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Does TYC Brother Industrial (TPE:1522) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?
Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. As with many other companies TYC Brother Industrial Co., Ltd. (TPE:1522) makes use of debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?
Why Does Debt Bring Risk?
Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.
Check out our latest analysis for TYC Brother Industrial
What Is TYC Brother Industrial's Debt?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that TYC Brother Industrial had debt of NT$9.81b at the end of September 2020, a reduction from NT$10.4b over a year. However, because it has a cash reserve of NT$984.5m, its net debt is less, at about NT$8.83b.
A Look At TYC Brother Industrial's Liabilities
We can see from the most recent balance sheet that TYC Brother Industrial had liabilities of NT$6.90b falling due within a year, and liabilities of NT$8.94b due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of NT$984.5m as well as receivables valued at NT$2.64b due within 12 months. So its liabilities total NT$12.2b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.
This deficit casts a shadow over the NT$6.69b company, like a colossus towering over mere mortals. So we definitely think shareholders need to watch this one closely. After all, TYC Brother Industrial would likely require a major re-capitalisation if it had to pay its creditors today.
We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).
TYC Brother Industrial has a debt to EBITDA ratio of 4.6 and its EBIT covered its interest expense 2.6 times. Taken together this implies that, while we wouldn't want to see debt levels rise, we think it can handle its current leverage. Even worse, TYC Brother Industrial saw its EBIT tank 52% over the last 12 months. If earnings continue to follow that trajectory, paying off that debt load will be harder than convincing us to run a marathon in the rain. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since TYC Brother Industrial will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.
Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. In the last three years, TYC Brother Industrial created free cash flow amounting to 7.5% of its EBIT, an uninspiring performance. That limp level of cash conversion undermines its ability to manage and pay down debt.
Our View
On the face of it, TYC Brother Industrial's EBIT growth rate left us tentative about the stock, and its level of total liabilities was no more enticing than the one empty restaurant on the busiest night of the year. And even its net debt to EBITDA fails to inspire much confidence. Considering all the factors previously mentioned, we think that TYC Brother Industrial really is carrying too much debt. To our minds, that means the stock is rather high risk, and probably one to avoid; but to each their own (investing) style. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. To that end, you should learn about the 4 warning signs we've spotted with TYC Brother Industrial (including 2 which is don't sit too well with us) .
If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.
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About TWSE:1522
TYC Brother Industrial
Engages in manufacture and sale of vehicle lighting products in Taiwan.
Solid track record with excellent balance sheet and pays a dividend.