Stock Analysis

Is Ta Yih Industrial (TPE:1521) A Risky Investment?

TWSE:1521
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Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We note that Ta Yih Industrial Co., Ltd. (TPE:1521) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

When Is Debt A Problem?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

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What Is Ta Yih Industrial's Net Debt?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of December 2020 Ta Yih Industrial had NT$342.4m of debt, an increase on none, over one year. However, because it has a cash reserve of NT$108.2m, its net debt is less, at about NT$234.2m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
TSEC:1521 Debt to Equity History April 13th 2021

How Strong Is Ta Yih Industrial's Balance Sheet?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Ta Yih Industrial had liabilities of NT$1.72b due within 12 months and liabilities of NT$185.9m due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of NT$108.2m as well as receivables valued at NT$1.03b due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by NT$774.1m.

Since publicly traded Ta Yih Industrial shares are worth a total of NT$4.05b, it seems unlikely that this level of liabilities would be a major threat. However, we do think it is worth keeping an eye on its balance sheet strength, as it may change over time.

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

Ta Yih Industrial's net debt is only 0.75 times its EBITDA. And its EBIT covers its interest expense a whopping 71.7 times over. So you could argue it is no more threatened by its debt than an elephant is by a mouse. The modesty of its debt load may become crucial for Ta Yih Industrial if management cannot prevent a repeat of the 55% cut to EBIT over the last year. Falling earnings (if the trend continues) could eventually make even modest debt quite risky. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Ta Yih Industrial will need earnings to service that debt. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. During the last three years, Ta Yih Industrial produced sturdy free cash flow equating to 68% of its EBIT, about what we'd expect. This cold hard cash means it can reduce its debt when it wants to.

Our View

Ta Yih Industrial's EBIT growth rate was a real negative on this analysis, although the other factors we considered were considerably better. There's no doubt that its ability to to cover its interest expense with its EBIT is pretty flash. Considering this range of data points, we think Ta Yih Industrial is in a good position to manage its debt levels. Having said that, the load is sufficiently heavy that we would recommend any shareholders keep a close eye on it. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. We've identified 4 warning signs with Ta Yih Industrial (at least 1 which is significant) , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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