Koza Anadolu Metal Madencilik Isletmeleri A.S.

IBSE:KOZAA Stock Report

Market Cap: ₺29.5b

Koza Anadolu Metal Madencilik Isletmeleri Valuation

Is KOZAA undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of KOZAA when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Discounted Cash Flow
Simply Wall St
₺3.31
Fair Value
2.2k% overvalued intrinsic discount
2
Number of Analysts

Below Fair Value: KOZAA (TRY76) is trading above our estimate of fair value (TRY3.31)

Significantly Below Fair Value: KOZAA is trading above our estimate of fair value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for KOZAA?

Key metric: As KOZAA is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for KOZAA. This is calculated by dividing KOZAA's market cap by their current revenue.
What is KOZAA's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio4.4x
Sales₺6.67b
Market Cap₺29.46b

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does KOZAA's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for KOZAA vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average5.6x
CVKMD CVK Maden Isletmeleri Sanayi ve Ticaret Anonim Sirketi
5.3xn/a₺12.4b
KRDMD Kardemir Karabük Demir Çelik Sanayi Ve Ticaret
0.8x39.9%₺34.1b
KCAER Kocaer Celik Sanayi ve Ticaret Anonim Sirketi
1.6x21.5%₺20.8b
HEKTS Hektas Ticaret T.A.S
14.5xn/a₺29.4b
KOZAA Koza Anadolu Metal Madencilik Isletmeleri
4.4x59.0%₺29.5b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: KOZAA is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (4.4x) compared to the peer average (5.6x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does KOZAA's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the TR Metals and Mining Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies available in this PS range
KOZAA 4.4xIndustry Avg. 1.0xNo. of Companies4PS00.61.21.82.43+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: KOZAA is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (4.4x) compared to the TR Metals and Mining industry average (1x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is KOZAA's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

KOZAA PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio4.4x
Fair PS Ratio12x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: KOZAA is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (4.4x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (12x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst KOZAA forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current₺76.00
₺108.90
+43.3%
11.8%₺121.70₺96.10n/a2
Feb ’26₺69.50
₺108.90
+56.7%
11.8%₺121.70₺96.10n/a2
Oct ’25₺65.20
₺66.00
+1.2%
28.8%₺85.00₺46.99n/a2
Sep ’25₺62.45
₺66.00
+5.7%
28.8%₺85.00₺46.99n/a2
Aug ’25₺63.95
₺66.00
+3.2%
28.8%₺85.00₺46.99n/a2
Jul ’25₺52.90
₺66.00
+24.8%
28.8%₺85.00₺46.99n/a2
Jun ’25₺49.62
₺66.00
+33.0%
28.8%₺85.00₺46.99n/a2
May ’25₺51.90
₺66.00
+27.2%
28.8%₺85.00₺46.99n/a2
Apr ’25₺47.16
₺66.00
+39.9%
28.8%₺85.00₺46.99n/a2
Mar ’25₺51.85
₺66.00
+27.3%
28.8%₺85.00₺46.99n/a2
Feb ’25₺50.10
₺67.77
+35.3%
25.4%₺85.00₺50.54₺69.502
Jan ’25₺42.42
₺59.27
+39.7%
14.7%₺68.00₺50.54₺74.252
Dec ’24₺55.10
₺59.27
+7.6%
14.7%₺68.00₺50.54₺70.452
Nov ’24₺53.05
₺59.27
+11.7%
14.7%₺68.00₺50.54₺60.452
Oct ’24₺66.00
₺59.27
-10.2%
14.7%₺68.00₺50.54₺65.202
Sep ’24₺66.25
₺59.27
-10.5%
14.7%₺68.00₺50.54₺62.452
Aug ’24₺58.70
₺59.27
+1.0%
14.7%₺68.00₺50.54₺63.952
Jul ’24₺51.70
₺56.47
+9.2%
20.4%₺68.00₺44.94₺52.902
Jun ’24₺44.42
₺56.47
+27.1%
20.4%₺68.00₺44.94₺49.622
May ’24₺35.40
₺63.51
+79.4%
7.1%₺68.00₺59.02₺51.902
Apr ’24₺36.64
₺62.01
+69.2%
4.8%₺65.00₺59.02₺47.162
Mar ’24₺44.08
₺62.68
+42.2%
3.7%₺65.00₺60.35₺51.852
Feb ’24₺48.84
₺62.68
+28.3%
3.7%₺65.00₺60.35₺50.102
Analyst Price Target
Consensus Narrative from 2 Analysts
₺108.90
Fair Value
30.2% undervalued intrinsic discount
2
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but there are not enough analysts covering the stock to determine statistical confidence in agreement.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/02/19 17:55
End of Day Share Price 2025/02/19 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Koza Anadolu Metal Madencilik Isletmeleri A.S. is covered by 13 analysts. 1 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Sevda SarpAta Invest
Alper PaksoyBNP Paribas Securities (Asia)
Kenan CosgunerBNP Paribas Securities (Asia)