Otokar Otomotiv ve Savunma Sanayi Valuation
Is OTKAR undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?
Valuation Score
2/6Valuation Score 2/6
Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast
Share Price vs Fair Value
What is the Fair Price of OTKAR when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.
Below Fair Value: OTKAR (TRY514) is trading below our estimate of fair value (TRY526.63)
Significantly Below Fair Value: OTKAR is trading below fair value, but not by a significant amount.
Key Valuation Metric
Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for OTKAR?
Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.
What is OTKAR's n/a Ratio? | |
---|---|
n/a | 0x |
n/a | n/a |
Market Cap | ₺61.68b |
Key Statistics | |
---|---|
Enterprise Value/Revenue | 2.6x |
Enterprise Value/EBITDA | 40.4x |
PEG Ratio | 0.6x |
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers
How does OTKAR's PE Ratio compare to its peers?
Company | Forward PE | Estimated Growth | Market Cap |
---|---|---|---|
Peer Average | 33.6x | ||
ASUZU Anadolu Isuzu Otomotiv Sanayi ve Ticaret | 18.2x | n/a | ₺29.5b |
TMSN Tümosan Motor ve Traktör Sanayi | 17.2x | n/a | ₺19.1b |
HATSN Hat-San Gemi Insaa Bakim Onarim Deniz Nakliyat Sanayi ve Ticaret Anonim Sirketi | 60.1x | n/a | ₺14.9b |
BVSAN Bulbuloglu Vinc Sanayi ve Ticaret Anonim Sirketi | 38.9x | n/a | ₺4.5b |
OTKAR Otokar Otomotiv ve Savunma Sanayi | 31.3x | 52.8% | ₺61.7b |
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: OTKAR is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (31.3x) compared to the peer average (33.6x).
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry
How does OTKAR's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Asian Machinery Industry?
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: OTKAR is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (31.3x) compared to the Asian Machinery industry average (23.3x).
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio
What is OTKAR's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.
Fair Ratio | |
---|---|
Current PE Ratio | 31.3x |
Fair PE Ratio | 23x |
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: OTKAR is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (31.3x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (23x).
Analyst Price Targets
What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?
Date | Share Price | Average 1Y Price Target | Dispersion | High | Low | 1Y Actual price | Analysts |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Current | ₺514.00 | ₺601.87 +17.1% | 16.5% | ₺764.62 | ₺441.00 | n/a | 7 |
Apr ’25 | ₺447.00 | ₺601.87 +34.6% | 16.5% | ₺764.62 | ₺441.00 | n/a | 7 |
Mar ’25 | ₺486.00 | ₺601.87 +23.8% | 16.5% | ₺764.62 | ₺441.00 | n/a | 7 |
Feb ’25 | ₺486.00 | ₺543.51 +11.8% | 12.0% | ₺625.00 | ₺441.00 | n/a | 6 |
Jan ’25 | ₺425.50 | ₺493.85 +16.1% | 14.2% | ₺583.47 | ₺385.00 | n/a | 6 |
Dec ’24 | ₺440.00 | ₺493.85 +12.2% | 14.2% | ₺583.47 | ₺385.00 | n/a | 6 |
Nov ’24 | ₺393.60 | ₺460.82 +17.1% | 23.7% | ₺583.47 | ₺271.42 | n/a | 6 |
Oct ’24 | ₺364.90 | ₺283.82 -22.2% | 35.7% | ₺385.61 | ₺114.00 | n/a | 6 |
Sep ’24 | ₺365.50 | ₺283.82 -22.3% | 35.7% | ₺385.61 | ₺114.00 | n/a | 6 |
Aug ’24 | ₺294.40 | ₺283.82 -3.6% | 35.7% | ₺385.61 | ₺114.00 | n/a | 6 |
Jul ’24 | ₺196.10 | ₺221.38 +12.9% | 24.0% | ₺271.64 | ₺114.00 | n/a | 6 |
Jun ’24 | ₺174.00 | ₺221.38 +27.2% | 24.0% | ₺271.64 | ₺114.00 | n/a | 6 |
May ’24 | ₺168.00 | ₺221.38 +31.8% | 24.0% | ₺271.64 | ₺114.00 | ₺523.50 | 6 |
Apr ’24 | ₺183.52 | ₺235.71 +28.4% | 9.8% | ₺271.64 | ₺214.00 | ₺447.00 | 4 |
Mar ’24 | ₺191.40 | ₺212.61 +11.1% | 26.3% | ₺271.64 | ₺121.60 | ₺486.00 | 4 |
Feb ’24 | ₺179.98 | ₺212.61 +18.1% | 26.3% | ₺271.64 | ₺121.60 | ₺486.00 | 4 |
Jan ’24 | ₺207.60 | ₺139.11 -33.0% | 20.0% | ₺175.00 | ₺104.00 | ₺425.50 | 4 |
Dec ’23 | ₺188.80 | ₺139.11 -26.3% | 20.0% | ₺175.00 | ₺104.00 | ₺440.00 | 4 |
Nov ’23 | ₺107.54 | ₺129.36 +20.3% | 14.7% | ₺155.82 | ₺104.00 | ₺393.60 | 4 |
Oct ’23 | ₺112.76 | ₺115.11 +2.1% | 11.6% | ₺136.00 | ₺102.91 | ₺364.90 | 4 |
Sep ’23 | ₺105.08 | ₺114.90 +9.3% | 10.4% | ₺136.00 | ₺102.91 | ₺365.50 | 5 |
Aug ’23 | ₺93.70 | ₺107.06 +14.3% | 7.1% | ₺117.51 | ₺96.80 | ₺294.40 | 5 |
Jul ’23 | ₺86.50 | ₺104.26 +20.5% | 9.9% | ₺117.51 | ₺90.00 | ₺196.10 | 5 |
Jun ’23 | ₺86.48 | ₺101.16 +17.0% | 7.8% | ₺114.08 | ₺90.00 | ₺174.00 | 5 |
May ’23 | ₺83.38 | ₺101.16 +21.3% | 7.8% | ₺114.08 | ₺90.00 | ₺168.00 | 5 |
Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.