L.P.N. Development Public Company Limited

SET:LPN Stock Report

Market Cap: ฿4.2b

L.P.N. Development Valuation

Is LPN undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of LPN when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: LPN (THB2.88) is trading below our estimate of fair value (THB12.61)

Significantly Below Fair Value: LPN is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for LPN?

Key metric: As LPN is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for LPN. This is calculated by dividing LPN's market cap by their current earnings.
What is LPN's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio17.3x
Earnings฿242.70m
Market Cap฿4.19b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does LPN's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for LPN vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average10.9x
SENA Sena Development
7.5xn/a฿3.3b
BRI Britania
4.8x4.3%฿3.5b
NOBLE Noble Development
10.1x23.5%฿3.9b
PRIN Prinsiri
21.2xn/a฿2.2b
LPN L.P.N. Development
17.3x27.8%฿4.2b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: LPN is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17.3x) compared to the peer average (10.9x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does LPN's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the TH Real Estate Industry?

1 CompanyPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
WORLD World Corporation
1.8xn/aUS$4.34m
No more companies available in this PE range
LPN 17.3xIndustry Avg. 14.6xNo. of Companies7PE0816243240+
1 CompanyEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: LPN is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17.3x) compared to the TH Real Estate industry average (14.6x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is LPN's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

LPN PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio17.3x
Fair PE Ratio9.7x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: LPN is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17.3x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (9.7x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst LPN forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current฿2.88
฿2.60
-9.7%
16.2%฿3.30฿2.10n/a7
Nov ’25฿2.98
฿2.68
-10.1%
12.7%฿3.30฿2.35n/a7
Oct ’25฿3.34
฿2.68
-19.7%
11.9%฿3.30฿2.35n/a8
Sep ’25฿2.98
฿2.68
-10.0%
11.9%฿3.30฿2.35n/a8
Aug ’25฿3.16
฿2.81
-11.2%
13.5%฿3.45฿2.40n/a8
Jul ’25฿3.16
฿2.81
-11.2%
13.5%฿3.45฿2.40n/a8
Jun ’25฿3.30
฿2.81
-15.0%
13.5%฿3.45฿2.40n/a8
May ’25฿3.48
฿2.86
-17.7%
14.0%฿3.45฿2.40n/a7
Apr ’25฿3.58
฿2.86
-20.0%
14.0%฿3.45฿2.40n/a7
Mar ’25฿3.64
฿2.88
-20.9%
14.6%฿3.45฿2.40n/a7
Feb ’25฿3.76
฿3.19
-15.3%
11.1%฿3.50฿2.50n/a7
Jan ’25฿3.98
฿3.21
-19.3%
10.5%฿3.50฿2.50n/a8
Dec ’24฿3.92
฿3.30
-15.8%
12.2%฿4.00฿2.50฿2.849
Nov ’24฿3.98
฿3.63
-8.8%
12.3%฿4.50฿2.80฿2.989
Oct ’24฿4.16
฿3.67
-11.7%
10.3%฿4.50฿3.20฿3.349
Sep ’24฿4.16
฿3.62
-13.1%
11.0%฿4.50฿3.10฿2.9810
Aug ’24฿4.18
฿3.71
-11.3%
10.9%฿4.50฿3.10฿3.1610
Jul ’24฿4.08
฿3.71
-9.2%
10.9%฿4.50฿3.10฿3.1610
Jun ’24฿4.42
฿3.71
-16.2%
10.9%฿4.50฿3.10฿3.3010
May ’24฿4.58
฿3.75
-18.0%
10.4%฿4.50฿3.10฿3.4810
Apr ’24฿4.66
฿3.75
-19.4%
10.4%฿4.50฿3.10฿3.5810
Mar ’24฿4.20
฿3.75
-10.6%
10.4%฿4.50฿3.10฿3.6410
Feb ’24฿4.62
฿4.08
-11.7%
11.6%฿4.67฿3.11฿3.7610
Jan ’24฿4.62
฿4.08
-11.7%
11.6%฿4.67฿3.11฿3.9810
Dec ’23฿4.60
฿4.17
-9.3%
9.9%฿4.67฿3.40฿3.9211

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.


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