VGI Public Company Limited

SET:VGI Stock Report

Market Cap: ฿19.1b

VGI Valuation

Is VGI undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

0/6

Valuation Score 0/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of VGI when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: VGI (THB1.71) is trading above our estimate of fair value (THB0.07)

Significantly Below Fair Value: VGI is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for VGI?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

VGI key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue3.4x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA-24.4x
PEG Ration/a

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does VGI's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for VGI vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average2.4x
PLANB Plan B Media
4.2x6.0%฿35.8b
ROCTEC Roctec Global
2.3xn/a฿6.3b
PICO Pico (Thailand)
1xn/a฿1.1b
FE Far East Fame Line DDB
1.9xn/a฿1.3b
VGI VGI
4x9.6%฿19.1b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: VGI is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (4x) compared to the peer average (2.4x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does VGI's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the TH Media Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a21.3%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPS048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a21.3%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: VGI is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (4x) compared to the TH Media industry average (2x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is VGI's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

VGI PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio4x
Fair PS Ratio3.1x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: VGI is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (4x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (3.1x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst VGI forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current฿1.71
฿1.97
+15.4%
18.2%฿2.50฿1.37n/a5
Apr ’25฿1.70
฿2.25
+32.5%
25.0%฿3.20฿1.37n/a6
Mar ’25฿1.42
฿2.28
+60.4%
24.4%฿3.20฿1.37n/a6
Feb ’25฿1.57
฿2.46
+56.6%
15.3%฿3.20฿1.90n/a7
Jan ’25฿1.93
฿2.58
+33.5%
18.2%฿3.40฿1.90n/a8
Dec ’24฿2.02
฿2.72
+34.5%
17.9%฿3.40฿1.90n/a8
Nov ’24฿1.96
฿2.83
+44.6%
16.8%฿3.40฿1.90n/a8
Oct ’24฿2.36
฿3.18
+34.6%
8.0%฿3.70฿2.90n/a8
Sep ’24฿3.04
฿3.59
+18.1%
33.3%฿6.90฿2.90n/a9
Aug ’24฿2.92
฿4.12
+41.2%
26.9%฿6.90฿2.90n/a9
Jul ’24฿3.04
฿4.12
+35.6%
26.9%฿6.90฿2.90n/a9
Jun ’24฿3.16
฿4.14
+31.0%
25.5%฿6.90฿2.90n/a10
May ’24฿3.36
฿4.88
+45.2%
17.6%฿6.90฿3.70฿1.719
Apr ’24฿3.92
฿4.86
+23.9%
17.6%฿6.90฿3.90฿1.709
Mar ’24฿4.28
฿4.99
+16.6%
17.0%฿6.90฿3.90฿1.429
Feb ’24฿5.00
฿5.07
+1.4%
15.6%฿6.90฿3.90฿1.579
Jan ’24฿4.40
฿4.98
+13.3%
16.5%฿6.90฿3.90฿1.939
Dec ’23฿4.12
฿5.11
+23.9%
15.8%฿6.90฿3.90฿2.029
Nov ’23฿3.74
฿5.12
+36.8%
15.3%฿6.90฿4.20฿1.969
Oct ’23฿4.00
฿5.35
+33.7%
12.7%฿6.90฿4.30฿2.369
Sep ’23฿4.28
฿5.31
+23.9%
12.4%฿6.90฿4.30฿3.0410
Aug ’23฿4.34
฿5.93
+36.7%
14.7%฿7.50฿4.90฿2.9211
Jul ’23฿4.96
฿6.11
+23.2%
13.3%฿7.50฿4.90฿3.0411
Jun ’23฿5.30
฿6.14
+15.8%
12.9%฿7.50฿4.90฿3.1611
May ’23฿4.96
฿6.15
+24.1%
12.2%฿7.50฿4.90฿3.3611

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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