SCG Packaging Public Company Limited

SET:SCGP Stock Report

Market Cap: ฿110.5b

SCG Packaging Past Earnings Performance

Past criteria checks 4/6

SCG Packaging's earnings have been declining at an average annual rate of -17.2%, while the Packaging industry saw earnings growing at 2.6% annually. Revenues have been growing at an average rate of 1.3% per year. SCG Packaging's return on equity is 5.7%, and it has net margins of 3.9%.

Key information

-17.17%

Earnings growth rate

-18.80%

EPS growth rate

Packaging Industry Growth0.64%
Revenue growth rate1.32%
Return on equity5.65%
Net Margin3.90%
Last Earnings Update31 Mar 2026

Recent past performance updates

Recent updates

Narrative Update May 02

SCGP: Dividend Policy And Profit Outlook Will Support Balanced Return Potential

Analysts have raised their price target for SCG Packaging from THB20.58 to THB23.74, reflecting updated assumptions for revenue growth, profit margin, discount rate and future P/E. What's in the News The board approved the allocation of 2025 profit for dividend distribution at THB 0.60 per share, equal to 63.3% of profit on consolidated financial statements, in line with SCGP's stated dividend policy (Key Developments).
Narrative Update Apr 18

SCGP: 2025 Dividend Outlook Will Support Balanced Return Potential

Analysts have nudged their fair value estimate for SCG Packaging slightly higher, with the target moving from THB20.31 to THB20.58. This reflects updated views on discount rates, revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E assumptions.
Narrative Update Apr 03

SCGP: Higher 2025 Dividend Policy Will Support Future Upside Potential

Analysts have maintained their THB 26.0 price target for SCG Packaging, citing updated assumptions that include a slightly lower discount rate, modest adjustments to revenue growth and profit margin estimates, and a small recalibration of the future P/E multiple. What's in the News The board approved profit allocation for 2025 that includes a full year dividend of THB 0.60 per share, equal to 63.3% of profit on consolidated financial statements, totaling about THB 2,576m (Key Developments).
Narrative Update Mar 20

SCGP: Upcoming 2025 Dividend Payout Will Support Attractive Future Returns

Analysts have slightly adjusted their price target for SCG Packaging to THB20.31 from THB20.25, reflecting small tweaks to assumptions for the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E. What's in the News Proposed full year 2025 dividend of THB0.60 per share, totaling about THB2,576m, representing 63.3% of profit on consolidated financial statements (Key Developments).
Narrative Update Mar 05

SCGP: Payout-Heavy Dividend Policy Will Likely Sustain Earnings Quality Concerns

Analysts have raised their price target on SCG Packaging from THB13.00 to about THB13.96, citing updated assumptions that combine a slightly lower discount rate, more moderate revenue growth expectations, a higher projected profit margin, and a small adjustment to future P/E. What's in the News SCG Packaging Public Company Limited proposed a full year 2025 dividend of THB 0.60 per share, equal to approximately THB 2,576 million on a consolidated basis, representing 63.3% of profit for the year (Key Developments).
Narrative Update Feb 19

SCGP: Dividend Policy And Board Refresh Will Support Stable Future Outlook

Analysts have raised their price target for SCG Packaging to THB20.25 from THB19.29, reflecting updated assumptions around discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and a higher future P/E multiple. What's in the News Proposed full year 2025 dividend of THB0.60 per share, totaling about THB2,576m, based on consolidated profit that has been subject to 20% corporate income tax (Key Developments).
Narrative Update Feb 05

SCGP: Higher Dividend Plan And New Audit Director Will Support Upside Potential

Analysts have nudged their price target for SCG Packaging up to $26.00, reflecting updated views on fair value, a slightly lower discount rate, adjusted revenue growth assumptions, a modestly higher profit margin outlook, and a recalibrated future P/E multiple. What's in the News Proposed full year 2025 dividend of THB 0.60 per share, totaling about THB 2,576m, representing 63.3% of profit on consolidated financial statements (Key Developments).
Narrative Update Jan 22

SCGP: Board Changes And Stable Outlook Will Support Balanced Future Prospects

Analysts have nudged their fair value estimate for SCG Packaging to ฿19.29 from ฿19.11, citing updated assumptions around discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E as key inputs to the revised target. What's in the News A board meeting is scheduled for November 25, 2025, to consider electing Mrs.
Narrative Update Jan 08

SCGP: Higher Fair Value Will Likely Mask Ongoing Earnings Quality Risk

Analysts have raised their fair value estimate for SCG Packaging from $12.00 to $13.00, citing updated assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins, and a slightly lower future P/E multiple. What's in the News A board meeting is scheduled for November 25, 2025, to consider electing Mrs.
Narrative Update Dec 18

SCGP: Board And Audit Committee Transition Will Support Stronger Governance Outlook

Analysts have nudged their price target on SCG Packaging slightly lower to THB 25.57 from THB 25.60, reflecting a higher assumed discount rate despite more optimistic forecasts for revenue growth and profit margins. What's in the News The board of directors is scheduled to meet on November 25, 2025, to consider electing Mrs.
Narrative Update Dec 04

SCGP: Board And Audit Changes Will Support Future Upside Potential

Analysts have nudged their price target for SCG Packaging slightly higher to THB19.11, reflecting modestly increased discount rate and future P E assumptions, while keeping revenue growth and profit margin forecasts broadly unchanged. What's in the News The board of directors is scheduled to meet on November 25, 2025, to address changes in board composition and audit oversight (company filing).
Narrative Update Nov 19

SCGP: Fair Value Increase Points To Strong Future Upside Potential

Analysts have slightly raised their fair value estimate for SCG Packaging from ฿19.03 to ฿19.11, citing minor adjustments in key financial assumptions and market outlook. Valuation Changes Fair Value: Increased slightly from THB 19.03 to THB 19.11.
Narrative Update Nov 04

SCGP: Future Profits Will Improve While Shares Remain Fairly Priced

Analysts have raised their price target for SCG Packaging from 18.67 THB to 19.03 THB. This reflects improved expectations for revenue growth and profit margins based on recent company performance projections.
Narrative Update Oct 21

Analysts Lift SCG Packaging Target as Higher Margins Offset Slower Revenue Growth

Analysts have raised their price target for SCG Packaging from 17.69 to 18.67, citing a modest uptick in projected profit margins even though revenue growth is expected to slow slightly. Valuation Changes Fair Value increased from THB 17.69 to THB 18.67, reflecting a modest upward revision.
User avatar
New Narrative Feb 23

Investments In AI And ASEAN Markets Will Improve Future Efficiency

Focused expansion in ASEAN markets, particularly Thailand, Vietnam, and Indonesia, aims to drive volume growth and positively impact revenue.

Revenue & Expenses Breakdown

How SCG Packaging makes and spends money. Based on latest reported earnings, on an LTM basis.


Earnings and Revenue History

SET:SCGP Revenue, expenses and earnings (THB Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsG+A ExpensesR&D Expenses
31 Mar 26121,4604,73616,0720
31 Dec 25124,3744,06916,1310
30 Sep 25125,4352,80615,5260
30 Jun 25128,3672,43015,9000
31 Mar 25132,8993,80916,1900
31 Dec 24132,7843,69916,3180
30 Sep 24133,4334,97416,4110
30 Jun 24131,6365,72116,0950
31 Mar 2497,6185,10412,1640
31 Dec 23129,3985,24815,6550
30 Sep 23131,0264,47915,0960
30 Jun 23137,3964,99215,3490
31 Mar 23143,1625,36315,7970
31 Dec 22146,0685,80115,5680
30 Sep 22147,7047,46715,2180
30 Jun 22141,6917,41014,5130
31 Mar 22133,6047,81813,2330
31 Dec 21124,2238,29412,2130
30 Sep 21112,6747,66511,8310
30 Jun 21104,0317,21910,8780
31 Mar 2195,7726,86010,5590
31 Dec 2092,7866,45710,0900
30 Sep 2092,2866,1689,9230
30 Jun 2093,4446,3039,9460
31 Mar 2092,5735,7009,7770
31 Dec 1989,0705,2699,7100
31 Dec 1887,2556,0669,5380
31 Dec 1781,4554,4258,7090
31 Dec 1674,5423,2858,3880
31 Dec 1570,9073,2257,7230

Quality Earnings: SCGP has high quality earnings.

Growing Profit Margin: SCGP's current net profit margins (3.9%) are higher than last year (2.9%).


Free Cash Flow vs Earnings Analysis


Past Earnings Growth Analysis

Earnings Trend: SCGP's earnings have declined by 17.2% per year over the past 5 years.

Accelerating Growth: SCGP's earnings growth over the past year (24.3%) exceeds its 5-year average (-17.2% per year).

Earnings vs Industry: SCGP earnings growth over the past year (24.3%) exceeded the Packaging industry 0.9%.


Return on Equity

High ROE: SCGP's Return on Equity (5.7%) is considered low.


Return on Assets


Return on Capital Employed


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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/05/06 10:48
End of Day Share Price 2026/05/06 00:00
Earnings2026/03/31
Annual Earnings2025/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

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Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

SCG Packaging Public Company Limited is covered by 25 analysts. 17 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Narumon EkasamutBofA Global Research
Suppata SrisukBualuang Securities PCL
Amornrat CheevavichawalkulCGS International