Charoen Pokphand Foods Future Growth

Future criteria checks 3/6

Charoen Pokphand Foods is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 29.7% and 3.6% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 28.5% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 6.2% in 3 years.

Key information

29.7%

Earnings growth rate

28.5%

EPS growth rate

Food earnings growth	23.7%
Revenue growth rate	3.6%
Future return on equity	6.2%
Analyst coverage	Good
Last updated	27 Aug 2024

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

SET:CPF - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (THB Millions)
Date	Revenue	Earnings	Free Cash Flow	Cash from Op	Avg. No. Analysts
12/31/2026	639,802	17,110	25,269	42,242	9
12/31/2025	618,277	14,967	25,115	40,071	12
12/31/2024	597,376	15,377	29,106	46,557	12
6/30/2024	584,638	5,487	37,989	57,641	N/A
3/31/2024	585,667	-2,097	22,554	43,983	N/A
12/31/2023	589,617	-5,837	13,052	35,360	N/A
9/30/2023	601,596	-4,059	-677	22,302	N/A
6/30/2023	617,448	2,858	991	25,731	N/A
3/31/2023	623,367	7,858	4,100	30,577	N/A
12/31/2022	618,115	13,414	5,899	33,544	N/A
9/30/2022	596,737	18,308	4,755	32,891	N/A
6/30/2022	563,189	7,814	-13,351	12,640	N/A
3/31/2022	536,235	8,328	-21,834	3,401	N/A
12/31/2021	516,777	12,428	-17,999	6,420	N/A
9/30/2021	529,278	12,118	5,739	30,066	N/A
6/30/2021	560,030	24,965	34,324	59,846	N/A
3/31/2021	574,317	26,257	44,451	70,088	N/A
12/31/2020	593,129	25,420	43,991	71,038	N/A
9/30/2020	583,747	23,022	32,472	60,575	N/A
6/30/2020	558,604	21,610	19,584	48,123	N/A
3/31/2020	548,539	19,685	19,445	46,840	N/A
12/31/2019	535,618	17,856	14,935	40,609	N/A
9/30/2019	538,652	15,538	7,133	31,524	N/A
6/30/2019	547,292	14,381	5,825	31,221	N/A
3/31/2019	549,834	16,162	-1,645	24,574	N/A
12/31/2018	545,068	14,931	-13,574	15,294	N/A
9/30/2018	530,032	15,564	-18,853	13,892	N/A
6/30/2018	515,030	15,607	-23,077	10,096	N/A
3/31/2018	504,658	13,742	N/A	16,495	N/A
12/31/2017	503,734	14,746	N/A	17,256	N/A
9/30/2017	494,219	14,310	N/A	15,297	N/A
6/30/2017	490,166	14,698	N/A	16,363	N/A
3/31/2017	480,927	14,844	N/A	24,784	N/A
12/31/2016	466,792	14,703	N/A	31,231	N/A
9/30/2016	457,022	14,513	N/A	38,788	N/A
6/30/2016	446,448	12,900	N/A	44,177	N/A
3/31/2016	433,354	11,867	N/A	28,808	N/A
12/31/2015	424,768	11,059	N/A	20,862	N/A
9/30/2015	424,274	10,318	N/A	16,670	N/A
6/30/2015	424,813	10,905	N/A	14,335	N/A
3/31/2015	426,922	11,468	N/A	24,287	N/A
12/31/2014	428,193	10,562	N/A	23,208	N/A
9/30/2014	421,770	11,509	N/A	15,158	N/A
6/30/2014	414,572	9,999	N/A	14,458	N/A
3/31/2014	401,836	8,089	N/A	6,907	N/A
12/31/2013	390,921	7,065	N/A	9,452	N/A
9/30/2013	381,908	5,548	N/A	10,188	N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: CPF's forecast earnings growth (29.7% per year) is above the savings rate (2%).

Earnings vs Market: CPF's earnings (29.7% per year) are forecast to grow faster than the TH market (15% per year).

High Growth Earnings: CPF's earnings are expected to grow significantly over the next 3 years.

Revenue vs Market: CPF's revenue (3.6% per year) is forecast to grow slower than the TH market (6.5% per year).

High Growth Revenue: CPF's revenue (3.6% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: CPF's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (6.2%).

Charoen Pokphand Foods Future Growth

Future criteria checks 3/6

Key information

Recent future growth updates

Price target increased by 12% to ฿27.71

Consensus EPS estimates fall from profit to ฿0.11 loss

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 29%

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 68%

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 13%

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 11%

Recent updates

Upcoming dividend of ฿0.45 per share

Charoen Pokphand Foods Public Company Limited Announces Interim Cash Dividend for the Operating Period from 01 January 2024 to 30 June 2024, Payable on 13 September 2024

Second quarter 2024 earnings: EPS exceeds analyst expectations

Price target increased by 12% to ฿27.71

First quarter 2024 earnings released: EPS: ฿0.11 (vs ฿0.36 loss in 1Q 2023)

Charoen Pokphand Foods Public Company Limited Approves Omission of Annual Dividend Payment for the Year 2023

Full year 2023 earnings: EPS exceeds analyst expectations while revenues lag behind

Charoen Pokphand Foods Public Company Limited Proposes Omission of Dividend for the Year 2023

Charoen Pokphand Foods Public Company Limited Approves Board Changes

Third quarter 2023 earnings: EPS exceeds analyst expectations while revenues lag behind

Consensus EPS estimates fall from profit to ฿0.11 loss

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 29%

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 68%

New major risk - Dividend sustainability

Second quarter 2023 earnings: EPS exceeds analyst expectations while revenues lag behind

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 13%

First quarter 2023 earnings: EPS and revenues miss analyst expectations

Upcoming dividend of ฿0.35 per share at 3.7% yield

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 11%

Charoen Pokphand Foods Public Company Limited (SET:CPF) announces an Equity Buyback for 200,000,000 shares, representing 2.32% for THB 5,000 million.

Third quarter 2022 earnings: EPS misses analyst expectations

Upcoming dividend of ฿0.40 per share

Second quarter 2022 earnings: EPS and revenues miss analyst expectations

Charoen Pokphand Foods Public Company Limited Announces Board Committee Changes

Charoen Pokphand Foods Public Company Limited Announces Resignation of Pongsak Angkasith as an Independent Director and Member of Audit Committee and Remuneration and Nominating Committee

Metro Reportedly Looks to Sell India Operations

First quarter 2022 earnings: Revenues and EPS in line with analyst expectations

Upcoming dividend of ฿0.25 per share

Consensus forecasts updated

Full year 2021 earnings: Revenues exceed analysts expectations while EPS lags behind

Charoen Pokphand Foods Public Company Limited Proposes Dividend for the Year 2021, Payable on May 25, 2022

Third quarter 2021 earnings released: ฿0.69 loss per share (vs ฿0.91 profit in 3Q 2020)

Vice Chairman Chingchai Lohawatanakul has left the company

Upcoming dividend of ฿0.40 per share

Second quarter 2021 earnings released: EPS ฿0.57 (vs ฿0.72 in 2Q 2020)

Price target decreased to ฿34.51

Charoen Pokphand Foods plc Launches Plant-Based "Meat Zero", Eyeing to Make it Top 3 Alternative Meat Brand in 3-5 Years

First quarter 2021 earnings released: EPS ฿0.85 (vs ฿0.73 in 1Q 2020)

Upcoming dividend of ฿0.60 per share

Charoen Pokphand Foods Public Company Limited Announces Interim Dividend, Payable on May 28, 2021

Charoen Pokphand Foods Public Company Limited (SET:CPF) agreed to acquire additional 43.3% stake in C P Aquaculture (India) Private Limited from Charoen Pokphand Group Co., Ltd. and CT Progressive for approximately INR 3.5 billion.

New 90-day high: ฿30.75

Revenue and earnings beat expectations

Full year 2020 earnings released: EPS ฿3.14 (vs ฿2.18 in FY 2019)

Charoen Pokphand Foods Public Company Limited, Annual General Meeting, Apr 30, 2021

Analysts update estimates

Third quarter 2020 earnings released: EPS ฿0.91

Revenue and earnings beat expectations

New 90-day low: ฿25.25

New 90-day low: ฿27.50

New 90-day low - ฿29.50

First half earnings released

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

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