Italian-Thai Development Valuation

Q: What is the Fair Price of ITD when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

ITD (THB0.53) is trading below our estimate of [[fair value]] (THB9.78)

Is ITD undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Sales vs Peers
Price-To-Sales vs Industry
Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of ITD when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: ITD (THB0.53) is trading below our estimate of fair value (THB9.78)

Significantly Below Fair Value: ITD is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for ITD?

Key metric: As ITD is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for ITD. This is calculated by dividing ITD's market cap by their current revenue.
What is ITD's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio	0.04x
Sales	฿64.10b
Market Cap	฿2.80b

ITD key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue	0.8x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA	13.6x
PEG Ratio	n/a

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does ITD's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for ITD vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
Company	Forward PS	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
Peer Average	0.8x
TEAMG TEAM Consulting Engineering and Management	1.6x	n/a	฿2.8b
DEMCO Demco	0.9x	n/a	฿2.5b
UNIQ Unique Engineering and Construction	0.3x	n/a	฿3.0b
SYNTEC Syntec Construction	0.3x	n/a	฿2.5b
ITD Italian-Thai Development	0.04x	-4.5%	฿2.8b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: ITD is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0x) compared to the peer average (0.8x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does ITD's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the TH Construction Industry?

4 Companies	Price / Sales	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
Industry Avg.	0.4x	14.2%
ITD Italian-Thai Development	0.04x	-4.5%	US$80.89m
TTCL TTCL	0.08x	-3.0%	US$42.73m
PLE Power Line Engineering	0.05x	n/a	US$14.56m

4 Companies		Estimated Growth	Market Cap
Industry Avg.	0.4x	30.4%
ITD Italian-Thai Development	0.04x	57.6%	US$80.89m

No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: ITD is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0x) compared to the TH Construction industry average (0.4x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is ITD's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

ITD PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio	0.04x
Fair PS Ratio	0.2x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: ITD is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.2x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.

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