Stock Analysis

These 4 Measures Indicate That Hutchison Port Holdings Trust (SGX:NS8U) Is Using Debt Reasonably Well

SGX:NS8U
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David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We can see that Hutchison Port Holdings Trust (SGX:NS8U) does use debt in its business. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for Hutchison Port Holdings Trust

What Is Hutchison Port Holdings Trust's Debt?

As you can see below, Hutchison Port Holdings Trust had HK$27.3b of debt at June 2022, down from HK$29.1b a year prior. On the flip side, it has HK$11.5b in cash leading to net debt of about HK$15.8b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
SGX:NS8U Debt to Equity History September 26th 2022

How Healthy Is Hutchison Port Holdings Trust's Balance Sheet?

The latest balance sheet data shows that Hutchison Port Holdings Trust had liabilities of HK$16.6b due within a year, and liabilities of HK$27.1b falling due after that. Offsetting this, it had HK$11.5b in cash and HK$4.23b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities total HK$28.0b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

The deficiency here weighs heavily on the HK$13.6b company itself, as if a child were struggling under the weight of an enormous back-pack full of books, his sports gear, and a trumpet. So we'd watch its balance sheet closely, without a doubt. At the end of the day, Hutchison Port Holdings Trust would probably need a major re-capitalization if its creditors were to demand repayment.

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

Hutchison Port Holdings Trust's net debt of 2.3 times EBITDA suggests graceful use of debt. And the alluring interest cover (EBIT of 9.7 times interest expense) certainly does not do anything to dispel this impression. One way Hutchison Port Holdings Trust could vanquish its debt would be if it stops borrowing more but continues to grow EBIT at around 14%, as it did over the last year. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Hutchison Port Holdings Trust can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. Happily for any shareholders, Hutchison Port Holdings Trust actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT over the last three years. That sort of strong cash conversion gets us as excited as the crowd when the beat drops at a Daft Punk concert.

Our View

Based on what we've seen Hutchison Port Holdings Trust is not finding it easy, given its level of total liabilities, but the other factors we considered give us cause to be optimistic. In particular, we are dazzled with its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow. It's also worth noting that Hutchison Port Holdings Trust is in the Infrastructure industry, which is often considered to be quite defensive. When we consider all the factors mentioned above, we do feel a bit cautious about Hutchison Port Holdings Trust's use of debt. While debt does have its upside in higher potential returns, we think shareholders should definitely consider how debt levels might make the stock more risky. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Be aware that Hutchison Port Holdings Trust is showing 2 warning signs in our investment analysis , and 1 of those doesn't sit too well with us...

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.