Stock Analysis

Hutchison Port Holdings Trust (SGX:NS8U) Has A Somewhat Strained Balance Sheet

SGX:NS8U
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Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. As with many other companies Hutchison Port Holdings Trust (SGX:NS8U) makes use of debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

View our latest analysis for Hutchison Port Holdings Trust

How Much Debt Does Hutchison Port Holdings Trust Carry?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Hutchison Port Holdings Trust had debt of HK$25.9b at the end of June 2023, a reduction from HK$27.3b over a year. However, because it has a cash reserve of HK$7.15b, its net debt is less, at about HK$18.8b.

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SGX:NS8U Debt to Equity History October 19th 2023

How Strong Is Hutchison Port Holdings Trust's Balance Sheet?

The latest balance sheet data shows that Hutchison Port Holdings Trust had liabilities of HK$7.34b due within a year, and liabilities of HK$33.4b falling due after that. On the other hand, it had cash of HK$7.15b and HK$2.63b worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities total HK$31.0b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

The deficiency here weighs heavily on the HK$10.8b company itself, as if a child were struggling under the weight of an enormous back-pack full of books, his sports gear, and a trumpet. So we'd watch its balance sheet closely, without a doubt. After all, Hutchison Port Holdings Trust would likely require a major re-capitalisation if it had to pay its creditors today.

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

Hutchison Port Holdings Trust's debt is 3.7 times its EBITDA, and its EBIT cover its interest expense 4.7 times over. This suggests that while the debt levels are significant, we'd stop short of calling them problematic. Shareholders should be aware that Hutchison Port Holdings Trust's EBIT was down 35% last year. If that earnings trend continues then paying off its debt will be about as easy as herding cats on to a roller coaster. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Hutchison Port Holdings Trust can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. Happily for any shareholders, Hutchison Port Holdings Trust actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT over the last three years. That sort of strong cash conversion gets us as excited as the crowd when the beat drops at a Daft Punk concert.

Our View

To be frank both Hutchison Port Holdings Trust's EBIT growth rate and its track record of staying on top of its total liabilities make us rather uncomfortable with its debt levels. But at least it's pretty decent at converting EBIT to free cash flow; that's encouraging. It's also worth noting that Hutchison Port Holdings Trust is in the Infrastructure industry, which is often considered to be quite defensive. Overall, it seems to us that Hutchison Port Holdings Trust's balance sheet is really quite a risk to the business. For this reason we're pretty cautious about the stock, and we think shareholders should keep a close eye on its liquidity. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 3 warning signs for Hutchison Port Holdings Trust (of which 1 doesn't sit too well with us!) you should know about.

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.