Stock Analysis

NetLink NBN Trust (SGX:CJLU) Seems To Use Debt Quite Sensibly

SGX:CJLU
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Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. As with many other companies NetLink NBN Trust (SGX:CJLU) makes use of debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for NetLink NBN Trust

What Is NetLink NBN Trust's Net Debt?

The chart below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that NetLink NBN Trust had S$702.1m in debt in March 2022; about the same as the year before. However, it does have S$149.8m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about S$552.3m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
SGX:CJLU Debt to Equity History September 26th 2022

How Strong Is NetLink NBN Trust's Balance Sheet?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that NetLink NBN Trust had liabilities of S$277.2m falling due within a year, and liabilities of S$1.04b due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of S$149.8m and S$95.9m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities total S$1.07b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

While this might seem like a lot, it is not so bad since NetLink NBN Trust has a market capitalization of S$3.59b, and so it could probably strengthen its balance sheet by raising capital if it needed to. But it's clear that we should definitely closely examine whether it can manage its debt without dilution.

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

NetLink NBN Trust's net debt to EBITDA ratio of about 2.1 suggests only moderate use of debt. And its strong interest cover of 12.5 times, makes us even more comfortable. Unfortunately, NetLink NBN Trust saw its EBIT slide 2.6% in the last twelve months. If earnings continue on that decline then managing that debt will be difficult like delivering hot soup on a unicycle. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if NetLink NBN Trust can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. Happily for any shareholders, NetLink NBN Trust actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT over the last three years. That sort of strong cash conversion gets us as excited as the crowd when the beat drops at a Daft Punk concert.

Our View

Happily, NetLink NBN Trust's impressive interest cover implies it has the upper hand on its debt. But truth be told we feel its EBIT growth rate does undermine this impression a bit. Looking at all the aforementioned factors together, it strikes us that NetLink NBN Trust can handle its debt fairly comfortably. Of course, while this leverage can enhance returns on equity, it does bring more risk, so it's worth keeping an eye on this one. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Case in point: We've spotted 1 warning sign for NetLink NBN Trust you should be aware of.

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.