Stock Analysis

Some Investors May Be Worried About Thakral's (SGX:AWI) Returns On Capital

SGX:AWI
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If you're looking for a multi-bagger, there's a few things to keep an eye out for. Ideally, a business will show two trends; firstly a growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and secondly, an increasing amount of capital employed. This shows us that it's a compounding machine, able to continually reinvest its earnings back into the business and generate higher returns. In light of that, when we looked at Thakral (SGX:AWI) and its ROCE trend, we weren't exactly thrilled.

What Is Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)?

If you haven't worked with ROCE before, it measures the 'return' (pre-tax profit) a company generates from capital employed in its business. The formula for this calculation on Thakral is:

Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)

0.015 = S$3.9m ÷ (S$349m - S$79m) (Based on the trailing twelve months to December 2022).

Thus, Thakral has an ROCE of 1.5%. In absolute terms, that's a low return and it also under-performs the Retail Distributors industry average of 5.3%.

View our latest analysis for Thakral

roce
SGX:AWI Return on Capital Employed July 10th 2023

Historical performance is a great place to start when researching a stock so above you can see the gauge for Thakral's ROCE against it's prior returns. If you'd like to look at how Thakral has performed in the past in other metrics, you can view this free graph of past earnings, revenue and cash flow.

SWOT Analysis for Thakral

Strength
  • Debt is well covered by .
  • Dividend is in the top 25% of dividend payers in the market.
Weakness
  • Earnings declined over the past year.
  • Interest payments on debt are not well covered.
Opportunity
  • Current share price is below our estimate of fair value.
  • Lack of analyst coverage makes it difficult to determine AWI's earnings prospects.
Threat
  • Debt is not well covered by operating cash flow.
  • Paying a dividend but company has no free cash flows.

How Are Returns Trending?

When we looked at the ROCE trend at Thakral, we didn't gain much confidence. Around five years ago the returns on capital were 12%, but since then they've fallen to 1.5%. Although, given both revenue and the amount of assets employed in the business have increased, it could suggest the company is investing in growth, and the extra capital has led to a short-term reduction in ROCE. If these investments prove successful, this can bode very well for long term stock performance.

Our Take On Thakral's ROCE

While returns have fallen for Thakral in recent times, we're encouraged to see that sales are growing and that the business is reinvesting in its operations. Furthermore the stock has climbed 63% over the last five years, it would appear that investors are upbeat about the future. So should these growth trends continue, we'd be optimistic on the stock going forward.

Thakral does come with some risks though, we found 3 warning signs in our investment analysis, and 1 of those is a bit unpleasant...

For those who like to invest in solid companies, check out this free list of companies with solid balance sheets and high returns on equity.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Thakral is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.