Stock Analysis

GuocoLand (SGX:F17) Has Affirmed Its Dividend Of SGD0.06

SGX:F17
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The board of GuocoLand Limited (SGX:F17) has announced that it will pay a dividend on the 16th of November, with investors receiving SGD0.06 per share. This payment means that the dividend yield will be 3.9%, which is around the industry average.

Check out our latest analysis for GuocoLand

GuocoLand's Payment Has Solid Earnings Coverage

While it is always good to see a solid dividend yield, we should also consider whether the payment is feasible. However, prior to this announcement, GuocoLand's dividend was comfortably covered by both cash flow and earnings. As a result, a large proportion of what it earned was being reinvested back into the business.

Looking forward, EPS could fall by 14.2% if the company can't turn things around from the last few years. Assuming the dividend continues along recent trends, we believe the payout ratio could be 42%, which we are pretty comfortable with and we think is feasible on an earnings basis.

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SGX:F17 Historic Dividend August 31st 2023

GuocoLand Has A Solid Track Record

The company has been paying a dividend for a long time, and it has been quite stable which gives us confidence in the future dividend potential. Since 2013, the annual payment back then was SGD0.05, compared to the most recent full-year payment of SGD0.06. This works out to be a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 1.8% a year over that time. Slow and steady dividend growth might not sound that exciting, but dividends have been stable for ten years, which we think makes this a fairly attractive offer.

Dividend Growth Potential Is Shaky

Investors could be attracted to the stock based on the quality of its payment history. Unfortunately things aren't as good as they seem. GuocoLand's EPS has fallen by approximately 14% per year during the past five years. This steep decline can indicate that the business is going through a tough time, which could constrain its ability to pay a larger dividend each year in the future.

Our Thoughts On GuocoLand's Dividend

Overall, a consistent dividend is a good thing, and we think that GuocoLand has the ability to continue this into the future. The earnings coverage is acceptable for now, but with earnings on the decline we would definitely keep an eye on the payout ratio. Taking all of this into consideration, the dividend looks viable moving forward, but investors should be mindful that the company has pushed the boundaries of sustainability in the past and may do so again.

Investors generally tend to favour companies with a consistent, stable dividend policy as opposed to those operating an irregular one. Meanwhile, despite the importance of dividend payments, they are not the only factors our readers should know when assessing a company. To that end, GuocoLand has 3 warning signs (and 1 which is a bit concerning) we think you should know about. Is GuocoLand not quite the opportunity you were looking for? Why not check out our selection of top dividend stocks.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.