Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We can see that Delfi Limited (SGX:P34) does use debt in its business. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?
When Is Debt Dangerous?
Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.
Check out our latest analysis for Delfi
What Is Delfi's Net Debt?
You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Delfi had US$46.0m of debt in December 2020, down from US$58.3m, one year before. But it also has US$65.5m in cash to offset that, meaning it has US$19.5m net cash.
How Strong Is Delfi's Balance Sheet?
According to the last reported balance sheet, Delfi had liabilities of US$139.7m due within 12 months, and liabilities of US$17.0m due beyond 12 months. Offsetting this, it had US$65.5m in cash and US$91.5m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So these liquid assets roughly match the total liabilities.
Having regard to Delfi's size, it seems that its liquid assets are well balanced with its total liabilities. So while it's hard to imagine that the US$349.6m company is struggling for cash, we still think it's worth monitoring its balance sheet. Succinctly put, Delfi boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!
It is just as well that Delfi's load is not too heavy, because its EBIT was down 34% over the last year. When it comes to paying off debt, falling earnings are no more useful than sugary sodas are for your health. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Delfi can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. While Delfi has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. Looking at the most recent three years, Delfi recorded free cash flow of 43% of its EBIT, which is weaker than we'd expect. That's not great, when it comes to paying down debt.
Summing up
While it is always sensible to investigate a company's debt, in this case Delfi has US$19.5m in net cash and a decent-looking balance sheet. So we don't have any problem with Delfi's use of debt. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example, we've discovered 1 warning sign for Delfi that you should be aware of before investing here.
Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.
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About SGX:P34
Delfi
An investment holding company, manufactures, markets, distributes, and sells chocolate, chocolate confectionery, and consumer products in Indonesia, Philippines, Malaysia, Singapore, and internationally.
Flawless balance sheet, good value and pays a dividend.