Hotel Grand Central Valuation

Q: What is the Fair Price of H18 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

H18 (SGD0.71) is trading above our estimate of [[fair value]] (SGD0.24)

Is H18 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

0/6

Valuation Score 0/6

Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of H18 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: H18 (SGD0.71) is trading above our estimate of fair value (SGD0.24)

Significantly Below Fair Value: H18 is trading above our estimate of fair value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for H18?

Key metric: As H18 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for H18. This is calculated by dividing H18's market cap by their current earnings.
What is H18's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio	58.2x
Earnings	S$8.96m
Market Cap	S$524.99m

H18 key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue	2.1x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA	7.6x
PEG Ratio	n/a

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does H18's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for H18 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
Company	Forward PE	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
Peer Average	44x
H07 Stamford Land	15.4x	n/a	S$548.9m
B28 Bonvests Holdings	58.9x	n/a	S$353.3m
A34 Amara Holdings	93.4x	n/a	S$333.5m
B58 Banyan Tree Holdings	8.5x	n/a	S$312.1m
H18 Hotel Grand Central	58.2x	n/a	S$521.3m

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: H18 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (58.2x) compared to the peer average (44x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does H18's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the SG Hospitality Industry?

1 Company	Price / Earnings	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
H15 Hotel Properties	3.4x	n/a	US$1.43b

No more companies available in this PE range

1 Company		Estimated Growth	Market Cap

No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: H18 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (58.2x) compared to the SG Hospitality industry average (13.5x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is H18's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

H18 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio	58.2x
Fair PE Ratio	n/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate H18's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.