Stock Analysis

Does Amara Holdings (SGX:A34) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

SGX:A34
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Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. Importantly, Amara Holdings Limited (SGX:A34) does carry debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for Amara Holdings

How Much Debt Does Amara Holdings Carry?

The chart below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Amara Holdings had S$337.3m in debt in December 2020; about the same as the year before. However, because it has a cash reserve of S$11.6m, its net debt is less, at about S$325.6m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
SGX:A34 Debt to Equity History March 9th 2021

A Look At Amara Holdings' Liabilities

According to the last reported balance sheet, Amara Holdings had liabilities of S$26.9m due within 12 months, and liabilities of S$393.0m due beyond 12 months. On the other hand, it had cash of S$11.6m and S$13.2m worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling S$395.1m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

This deficit casts a shadow over the S$207.0m company, like a colossus towering over mere mortals. So we'd watch its balance sheet closely, without a doubt. After all, Amara Holdings would likely require a major re-capitalisation if it had to pay its creditors today.

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

Amara Holdings shareholders face the double whammy of a high net debt to EBITDA ratio (17.9), and fairly weak interest coverage, since EBIT is just 0.73 times the interest expense. The debt burden here is substantial. Even worse, Amara Holdings saw its EBIT tank 69% over the last 12 months. If earnings continue to follow that trajectory, paying off that debt load will be harder than convincing us to run a marathon in the rain. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is Amara Holdings's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. Happily for any shareholders, Amara Holdings actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT over the last three years. There's nothing better than incoming cash when it comes to staying in your lenders' good graces.

Our View

To be frank both Amara Holdings's EBIT growth rate and its track record of staying on top of its total liabilities make us rather uncomfortable with its debt levels. But on the bright side, its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow is a good sign, and makes us more optimistic. After considering the datapoints discussed, we think Amara Holdings has too much debt. While some investors love that sort of risky play, it's certainly not our cup of tea. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. To that end, you should be aware of the 2 warning signs we've spotted with Amara Holdings .

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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