Stock Analysis

Sakae Holdings Ltd.'s (SGX:5DO) Share Price Could Signal Some Risk

SGX:5DO
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Sakae Holdings Ltd.'s (SGX:5DO) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 18.3x might make it look like a sell right now compared to the market in Singapore, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios below 12x and even P/E's below 6x are quite common. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the elevated P/E.

The earnings growth achieved at Sakae Holdings over the last year would be more than acceptable for most companies. It might be that many expect the respectable earnings performance to beat most other companies over the coming period, which has increased investors’ willingness to pay up for the stock. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

See our latest analysis for Sakae Holdings

pe-multiple-vs-industry
SGX:5DO Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry December 20th 2023
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Sakae Holdings' earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Is There Enough Growth For Sakae Holdings?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should outperform the market for P/E ratios like Sakae Holdings' to be considered reasonable.

If we review the last year of earnings growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 22%. However, the latest three year period hasn't been as great in aggregate as it didn't manage to provide any growth at all. So it appears to us that the company has had a mixed result in terms of growing earnings over that time.

Weighing that recent medium-term earnings trajectory against the broader market's one-year forecast for expansion of 9.2% shows it's noticeably less attractive on an annualised basis.

With this information, we find it concerning that Sakae Holdings is trading at a P/E higher than the market. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. There's a good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/E falls to levels more in line with recent growth rates.

The Final Word

Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-earnings ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

We've established that Sakae Holdings currently trades on a much higher than expected P/E since its recent three-year growth is lower than the wider market forecast. When we see weak earnings with slower than market growth, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the high P/E lower. If recent medium-term earnings trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.

Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 4 warning signs for Sakae Holdings (1 is potentially serious!) that you should be aware of.

You might be able to find a better investment than Sakae Holdings. If you want a selection of possible candidates, check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Sakae Holdings is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.