Stock Analysis

Health Check: How Prudently Does Sakae Holdings (SGX:5DO) Use Debt?

SGX:5DO
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Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We can see that Sakae Holdings Ltd. (SGX:5DO) does use debt in its business. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

When Is Debt A Problem?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for Sakae Holdings

What Is Sakae Holdings's Debt?

As you can see below, Sakae Holdings had S$20.9m of debt at June 2024, down from S$24.8m a year prior. However, because it has a cash reserve of S$4.39m, its net debt is less, at about S$16.5m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
SGX:5DO Debt to Equity History October 23rd 2024

How Healthy Is Sakae Holdings' Balance Sheet?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Sakae Holdings had liabilities of S$25.4m falling due within a year, and liabilities of S$24.5m due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of S$4.39m and S$1.24m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by S$44.3m.

The deficiency here weighs heavily on the S$14.6m company itself, as if a child were struggling under the weight of an enormous back-pack full of books, his sports gear, and a trumpet. So we definitely think shareholders need to watch this one closely. After all, Sakae Holdings would likely require a major re-capitalisation if it had to pay its creditors today. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Sakae Holdings will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

Over 12 months, Sakae Holdings made a loss at the EBIT level, and saw its revenue drop to S$14m, which is a fall of 16%. We would much prefer see growth.

Caveat Emptor

Not only did Sakae Holdings's revenue slip over the last twelve months, but it also produced negative earnings before interest and tax (EBIT). Indeed, it lost S$1.2m at the EBIT level. If you consider the significant liabilities mentioned above, we are extremely wary of this investment. Of course, it may be able to improve its situation with a bit of luck and good execution. But we think that is unlikely since it is low on liquid assets, and made a loss of S$3.3m in the last year. So we think this stock is quite risky. We'd prefer to pass. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. We've identified 2 warning signs with Sakae Holdings (at least 1 which makes us a bit uncomfortable) , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.