Stock Analysis

Jardine Cycle & Carriage (SGX:C07) Has A Pretty Healthy Balance Sheet

SGX:C07
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David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. Importantly, Jardine Cycle & Carriage Limited (SGX:C07) does carry debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

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How Much Debt Does Jardine Cycle & Carriage Carry?

The chart below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Jardine Cycle & Carriage had US$6.14b in debt in June 2023; about the same as the year before. On the flip side, it has US$3.23b in cash leading to net debt of about US$2.91b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
SGX:C07 Debt to Equity History October 31st 2023

How Healthy Is Jardine Cycle & Carriage's Balance Sheet?

The latest balance sheet data shows that Jardine Cycle & Carriage had liabilities of US$9.39b due within a year, and liabilities of US$4.66b falling due after that. On the other hand, it had cash of US$3.23b and US$6.02b worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling US$4.79b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

While this might seem like a lot, it is not so bad since Jardine Cycle & Carriage has a market capitalization of US$8.23b, and so it could probably strengthen its balance sheet by raising capital if it needed to. However, it is still worthwhile taking a close look at its ability to pay off debt.

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

Jardine Cycle & Carriage's net debt is only 0.80 times its EBITDA. And its EBIT covers its interest expense a whopping 107 times over. So you could argue it is no more threatened by its debt than an elephant is by a mouse. Fortunately, Jardine Cycle & Carriage grew its EBIT by 9.2% in the last year, making that debt load look even more manageable. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Jardine Cycle & Carriage can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. Happily for any shareholders, Jardine Cycle & Carriage actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT over the last three years. That sort of strong cash conversion gets us as excited as the crowd when the beat drops at a Daft Punk concert.

Our View

The good news is that Jardine Cycle & Carriage's demonstrated ability to cover its interest expense with its EBIT delights us like a fluffy puppy does a toddler. But truth be told we feel its level of total liabilities does undermine this impression a bit. Taking all this data into account, it seems to us that Jardine Cycle & Carriage takes a pretty sensible approach to debt. That means they are taking on a bit more risk, in the hope of boosting shareholder returns. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. We've identified 1 warning sign with Jardine Cycle & Carriage , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Jardine Cycle & Carriage is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About SGX:C07

Jardine Cycle & Carriage

Jardine Cycle & Carriage Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the financial services, heavy equipment, mining, construction and energy, agribusiness, infrastructure and logistics, information technology, and property businesses in Indonesia and internationally.

Flawless balance sheet and undervalued.