Stock Analysis

Swedish Exchange's Top 3 Value Picks For September 2024

OM:HMS
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As European inflation nears the central bank’s target, the Swedish stock market has shown resilience amid broader economic fluctuations. With value stocks outperforming growth shares by a significant margin recently, investors are increasingly looking for undervalued opportunities. In this context, identifying undervalued stocks can be particularly rewarding, as these investments often provide a solid foundation for growth when market conditions stabilize.

Top 10 Undervalued Stocks Based On Cash Flows In Sweden

NameCurrent PriceFair Value (Est)Discount (Est)
Sleep Cycle (OM:SLEEP)SEK41.80SEK80.1247.8%
QleanAir (OM:QAIR)SEK26.20SEK51.1248.7%
Concentric (OM:COIC)SEK227.00SEK409.6844.6%
Paradox Interactive (OM:PDX)SEK143.80SEK258.3144.3%
Lindab International (OM:LIAB)SEK264.00SEK523.5949.6%
Dometic Group (OM:DOM)SEK68.15SEK131.0648%
Serstech (OM:SERT)SEK1.34SEK2.6449.2%
Svedbergs Group (OM:SVED BTA B)SEK36.30SEK65.5144.6%
Candles Scandinavia (OM:CANDLE B)SEK19.50SEK37.5548.1%
MilDef Group (OM:MILDEF)SEK82.00SEK161.4949.2%

Click here to see the full list of 41 stocks from our Undervalued Swedish Stocks Based On Cash Flows screener.

We'll examine a selection from our screener results.

HMS Networks (OM:HMS)

Overview: HMS Networks AB (publ) provides products that enable industrial equipment to communicate and share information globally, with a market cap of SEK21.50 billion.

Operations: HMS Networks generates revenue primarily from the Wireless Communications Equipment segment, which amounts to SEK3.01 billion.

Estimated Discount To Fair Value: 10.7%

HMS Networks is trading at SEK 428.4, which is 10.7% below its estimated fair value of SEK 479.67, indicating it may be undervalued based on cash flows. Despite high debt levels and recent shareholder dilution, the company’s revenue and earnings are forecast to grow significantly faster than the Swedish market at rates of 16% and 29.6% per year respectively. However, profit margins have declined from 20.1% to 14%, reflecting some financial challenges.

OM:HMS Discounted Cash Flow as at Sep 2024
OM:HMS Discounted Cash Flow as at Sep 2024

Humble Group (OM:HUMBLE)

Overview: Humble Group AB (publ) refines, develops, and distributes fast-moving consumer products in Sweden and internationally, with a market cap of SEK5.46 billion.

Operations: The company's revenue segments include Future Snacking (SEK950 million), Sustainable Care (SEK2.30 billion), Quality Nutrition (SEK1.53 billion), and Nordic Distribution (SEK2.67 billion).

Estimated Discount To Fair Value: 37.5%

Humble Group, trading at SEK 12.22, is significantly undervalued based on cash flows with an estimated fair value of SEK 19.55. Revenue growth is projected at 11.5% annually, outpacing the Swedish market's 1%. Earnings are expected to grow by 78.3% per year, becoming profitable within three years. Recent earnings reports show a positive trend with net income of SEK 32 million for Q2 and SEK 55 million for H1 2024, reversing previous losses.

OM:HUMBLE Discounted Cash Flow as at Sep 2024
OM:HUMBLE Discounted Cash Flow as at Sep 2024

Sweco (OM:SWEC B)

Overview: Sweco AB (publ) is a global provider of architecture and engineering consultancy services with a market cap of SEK60.38 billion.

Operations: Sweco's revenue segments include SEK1.47 billion from the UK, SEK3.50 billion from Norway, SEK8.74 billion from Sweden, SEK3.97 billion from Belgium, SEK3.24 billion from Denmark, SEK3.67 billion from Finland, SEK3.00 billion from the Netherlands, and SEK2.71 billion from Germany & Central Europe.

Estimated Discount To Fair Value: 27.2%

Sweco, trading at SEK 168, is undervalued based on cash flows with an estimated fair value of SEK 230.9. Earnings are forecast to grow by 17.3% annually, outpacing the Swedish market's 15.2%. Recent Q2 results show sales of SEK 8.08 billion and net income of SEK 540 million, up from SEK 7.25 billion and SEK 357 million respectively a year ago. Sweco secured significant contracts including a EUR 21 million agreement with the Danish Ministry of Defence Estate Agency and a SEK 400 million project for the Swedish Transport Administration.

OM:SWEC B Discounted Cash Flow as at Sep 2024
OM:SWEC B Discounted Cash Flow as at Sep 2024

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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