Stock Analysis

Investors Appear Satisfied With HMS Networks AB (publ)'s (STO:HMS) Prospects As Shares Rocket 25%

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OM:HMS

HMS Networks AB (publ) (STO:HMS) shareholders have had their patience rewarded with a 25% share price jump in the last month. Looking further back, the 15% rise over the last twelve months isn't too bad notwithstanding the strength over the last 30 days.

After such a large jump in price, you could be forgiven for thinking HMS Networks is a stock to steer clear of with a price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") of 8.4x, considering almost half the companies in Sweden's Communications industry have P/S ratios below 1.5x. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/S.

Check out our latest analysis for HMS Networks

OM:HMS Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry February 9th 2025

How HMS Networks Has Been Performing

Recent times have been pleasing for HMS Networks as its revenue has risen in spite of the industry's average revenue going into reverse. The P/S ratio is probably high because investors think the company will continue to navigate the broader industry headwinds better than most. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.

If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on HMS Networks.

How Is HMS Networks' Revenue Growth Trending?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, HMS Networks would need to produce outstanding growth that's well in excess of the industry.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered virtually the same number to the company's top line as the year before. Although pleasingly revenue has lifted 55% in aggregate from three years ago, notwithstanding the last 12 months. So while the company has done a solid job in the past, it's somewhat concerning to see revenue growth decline as much as it has.

Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 17% each year as estimated by the five analysts watching the company. With the industry only predicted to deliver 3.2% each year, the company is positioned for a stronger revenue result.

In light of this, it's understandable that HMS Networks' P/S sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are expecting this strong future growth and are willing to pay more for the stock.

What Does HMS Networks' P/S Mean For Investors?

HMS Networks' P/S has grown nicely over the last month thanks to a handy boost in the share price. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

Our look into HMS Networks shows that its P/S ratio remains high on the merit of its strong future revenues. Right now shareholders are comfortable with the P/S as they are quite confident future revenues aren't under threat. Unless the analysts have really missed the mark, these strong revenue forecasts should keep the share price buoyant.

Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 2 warning signs for HMS Networks that you should be aware of.

If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if HMS Networks might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.