Ependion AB

OM:EPEN Stock Report

Market Cap: SEK 3.4b

Ependion Valuation

Is EPEN undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of EPEN when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Discounted Cash Flow
Simply Wall St
SEK 261.19
Fair Value
54.8% undervalued intrinsic discount
3
Number of Analysts

Below Fair Value: EPEN (SEK118) is trading below our estimate of fair value (SEK261.19)

Significantly Below Fair Value: EPEN is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for EPEN?

Key metric: As EPEN is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for EPEN. This is calculated by dividing EPEN's market cap by their current earnings.
What is EPEN's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio21.7x
EarningsSEK 158.01m
Market CapSEK 3.43b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does EPEN's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for EPEN vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average31.8x
PRIC B Pricer
12.2x20.4%SEK 1.6b
FIRE Firefly
19.6xn/aSEK 1.1b
SGG Sensys Gatso Group
62.8x78.3%SEK 678.0m
BPCINS BPC Instruments
32.4xn/aSEK 439.1m
EPEN Ependion
21.7x24.2%SEK 3.4b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: EPEN is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (21.7x) compared to the peer average (31.8x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does EPEN's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Electronic Industry?

4 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
EPEN 21.7xIndustry Avg. 19.5xNo. of Companies12PE01224364860+
4 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: EPEN is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (21.7x) compared to the European Electronic industry average (19.9x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is EPEN's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

EPEN PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio21.7x
Fair PE Ratio30.1x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: EPEN is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (21.7x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (30.1x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst EPEN forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentSEK 118.00
SEK 150.33
+27.4%
7.9%SEK 165.00SEK 136.00n/a3
Feb ’26SEK 122.20
SEK 145.00
+18.7%
12.9%SEK 165.00SEK 120.00n/a3
Jan ’26SEK 97.10
SEK 144.83
+49.2%
13.1%SEK 165.00SEK 119.50n/a3
Dec ’25SEK 86.50
SEK 144.83
+67.4%
13.1%SEK 165.00SEK 119.50n/a3
Nov ’25SEK 104.40
SEK 144.83
+38.7%
13.1%SEK 165.00SEK 119.50n/a3
Oct ’25SEK 114.40
SEK 150.33
+31.4%
13.3%SEK 165.00SEK 122.00n/a3
Sep ’25SEK 108.40
SEK 143.50
+32.4%
15.0%SEK 165.00SEK 122.00n/a2
Aug ’25SEK 116.60
SEK 143.50
+23.1%
15.0%SEK 165.00SEK 122.00n/a2
Jul ’25SEK 128.60
SEK 143.00
+11.2%
9.1%SEK 156.00SEK 130.00n/a2
Jun ’25SEK 134.80
SEK 143.00
+6.1%
9.1%SEK 156.00SEK 130.00n/a2
May ’25SEK 108.60
SEK 143.00
+31.7%
9.1%SEK 156.00SEK 130.00n/a2
Apr ’25SEK 108.00
SEK 143.00
+32.4%
9.1%SEK 156.00SEK 130.00n/a2
Mar ’25SEK 98.20
SEK 143.00
+45.6%
9.1%SEK 156.00SEK 130.00n/a2
Feb ’25SEK 96.10
SEK 143.00
+48.8%
9.1%SEK 156.00SEK 130.00SEK 122.202
Jan ’25SEK 125.60
SEK 137.00
+9.1%
5.1%SEK 144.00SEK 130.00SEK 97.102
Dec ’24SEK 115.00
SEK 137.00
+19.1%
5.1%SEK 144.00SEK 130.00SEK 86.502
Nov ’24SEK 104.00
SEK 137.00
+31.7%
5.1%SEK 144.00SEK 130.00SEK 104.402
Oct ’24SEK 117.40
SEK 137.00
+16.7%
5.1%SEK 144.00SEK 130.00SEK 114.402
Sep ’24SEK 137.00
SEK 137.00
0%
5.1%SEK 144.00SEK 130.00SEK 108.402
Aug ’24SEK 149.40
SEK 137.00
-8.3%
5.1%SEK 144.00SEK 130.00SEK 116.602
Jul ’24SEK 135.80
SEK 121.00
-10.9%
0.8%SEK 122.00SEK 120.00SEK 128.602
Jun ’24SEK 124.00
SEK 121.00
-2.4%
0.8%SEK 122.00SEK 120.00SEK 134.802
May ’24SEK 113.60
SEK 121.00
+6.5%
0.8%SEK 122.00SEK 120.00SEK 108.602
Apr ’24SEK 97.00
SEK 118.00
+21.6%
1.7%SEK 120.00SEK 116.00SEK 108.002
Mar ’24SEK 99.10
SEK 118.00
+19.1%
1.7%SEK 120.00SEK 116.00SEK 98.202
Feb ’24SEK 109.60
SEK 118.00
+7.7%
1.7%SEK 120.00SEK 116.00SEK 96.102
Analyst Price Target
Consensus Narrative from 3 Analysts
SEK 150.33
Fair Value
21.5% undervalued intrinsic discount
3
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/02/21 04:27
End of Day Share Price 2025/02/21 00:00
Earnings2024/12/31
Annual Earnings2024/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Ependion AB is covered by 3 analysts. 4 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Markus AlmerudCarnegie Commissioned Research
Markus AlmerudPenser Access
Mark SiöstedtRedeye