Byggfakta Group Nordic HoldCo AB (publ)

OM:BFG Stock Report

Market Cap: kr11.2b

Byggfakta Group Nordic HoldCo Valuation

Is BFG undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of BFG when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: BFG (SEK51.9) is trading below our estimate of fair value (SEK123)

Significantly Below Fair Value: BFG is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for BFG?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

BFG key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue5.1x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA23.2x
PEG Ratio1.8x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does BFG's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for BFG vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average52.9x
TRUE B Truecaller
23x17.9%kr12.9b
VIT B Vitec Software Group
59.5x16.8%kr20.7b
LIME Lime Technologies
59.5x22.1%kr5.1b
FNOX Fortnox
69.5x21.1%kr42.6b
BFG Byggfakta Group Nordic HoldCo
94x52.1%kr11.2b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: BFG is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (94x) compared to the peer average (52.9x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does BFG's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the SE Software Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a35.1%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a35.1%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: BFG is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (94x) compared to the Swedish Software industry average (59x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is BFG's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

BFG PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio94x
Fair PE Ratio76.8x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: BFG is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (94x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (76.8x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst BFG forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Currentkr51.90
kr46.25
-10.9%
12.5%kr52.00kr37.00n/a4
May ’25kr51.90
kr46.20
-11.0%
11.2%kr52.00kr37.00n/a5
Apr ’25kr46.30
kr47.20
+1.9%
13.8%kr57.00kr37.00n/a5
Mar ’25kr46.70
kr47.20
+1.1%
13.8%kr57.00kr37.00n/a5
Feb ’25kr46.20
kr46.80
+1.3%
12.6%kr55.00kr37.00n/a5
Jan ’25kr36.50
kr43.80
+20.0%
12.9%kr50.00kr37.00n/a5
Dec ’24kr27.35
kr43.60
+59.4%
12.6%kr50.00kr37.00n/a5
Nov ’24kr25.95
kr45.28
+74.5%
17.8%kr60.00kr36.40n/a5
Oct ’24kr27.55
kr46.50
+68.8%
16.9%kr60.00kr37.50n/a5
Sep ’24kr29.80
kr46.50
+56.0%
16.9%kr60.00kr37.50n/a5
Aug ’24kr32.50
kr46.50
+43.1%
16.9%kr60.00kr37.50n/a5
Jul ’24kr35.80
kr49.80
+39.1%
11.4%kr60.00kr44.00n/a5
Jun ’24kr36.65
kr49.80
+35.9%
11.4%kr60.00kr44.00n/a5
May ’24kr37.50
kr49.80
+32.8%
11.4%kr60.00kr44.00kr51.905
Apr ’24kr36.42
kr50.60
+38.9%
10.0%kr60.00kr45.00kr46.305
Mar ’24kr37.16
kr50.60
+36.2%
10.0%kr60.00kr45.00kr46.705
Feb ’24kr39.42
kr49.20
+24.8%
4.7%kr52.00kr45.00kr46.205
Jan ’24kr41.96
kr47.80
+13.9%
13.5%kr59.00kr40.00kr36.505
Dec ’23kr42.18
kr47.80
+13.3%
13.5%kr59.00kr40.00kr27.355
Nov ’23kr29.28
kr50.40
+72.1%
13.7%kr59.00kr40.00kr25.955
Oct ’23kr29.88
kr50.40
+68.7%
13.7%kr59.00kr40.00kr27.555
Sep ’23kr29.80
kr52.80
+77.2%
10.1%kr61.00kr45.00kr29.805
Aug ’23kr39.14
kr52.80
+34.9%
10.1%kr61.00kr45.00kr32.505
Jul ’23kr31.12
kr60.34
+93.9%
4.4%kr64.00kr55.70kr35.805
Jun ’23kr44.58
kr60.74
+36.2%
4.8%kr64.00kr55.70kr36.655
May ’23kr48.12
kr68.10
+41.5%
9.9%kr78.00kr57.50kr37.505

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.


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