Thinc Collective AB (publ)

NGM:THINC Stock Report

Market Cap: SEK 35.1m

Thinc Collective Valuation

Is THINC undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of THINC when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: THINC (SEK2.15) is trading below our estimate of fair value (SEK2.31)

Significantly Below Fair Value: THINC is trading below fair value, but not by a significant amount.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for THINC?

Key metric: As THINC is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for THINC. This is calculated by dividing THINC's market cap by their current revenue.
What is THINC's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio0.1x
SalesSEK 299.45m
Market CapSEK 35.12m

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does THINC's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for THINC vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average2.7x
ZAPLOX Zaplox
2.2xn/aSEK 40.7m
RMDX Railway Metrics and Dynamics Sweden
1.6xn/aSEK 27.7m
DLAB Dlaboratory Sweden
0.8xn/aSEK 36.6m
NORDIG Nord Insuretech Group
6.3xn/aSEK 48.7m
THINC Thinc Collective
0.1xn/aSEK 35.1m

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: THINC is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.1x) compared to the peer average (2.5x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does THINC's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the SE Software Industry?

12 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.2.3x15.5%
THINC Thinc Collective
0.1xn/aUS$3.21m
QBIT QuickBit eu
0.5xn/aUS$41.78m
ARCA Arcario
0.4xn/aUS$25.36m
THINC 0.1xIndustry Avg. 2.3xNo. of Companies12PS0246810+
12 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.2.3x40.5%
THINC Thinc Collective
0.1xn/aUS$3.21m
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: THINC is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.1x) compared to the Swedish Software industry average (1.7x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is THINC's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

THINC PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio0.1x
Fair PS Ration/a

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate THINC's Price-To-Sales Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.


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