Diös Fastigheter AB (publ) (STO:DIOS), might not be a large cap stock, but it saw a double-digit share price rise of over 10% in the past couple of months on the OM. Less-covered, small caps sees more of an opportunity for mispricing due to the lack of information available to the public, which can be a good thing. So, could the stock still be trading at a low price relative to its actual value? Let’s take a look at Diös Fastigheter’s outlook and value based on the most recent financial data to see if the opportunity still exists.
See our latest analysis for Diös Fastigheter
What's The Opportunity In Diös Fastigheter?
According to my price multiple model, which makes a comparison between the company's price-to-earnings ratio and the industry average, the stock price seems to be justfied. I’ve used the price-to-earnings ratio in this instance because there’s not enough visibility to forecast its cash flows. The stock’s ratio of 4.74x is currently trading slightly above its industry peers’ ratio of 4.52x, which means if you buy Diös Fastigheter today, you’d be paying a relatively reasonable price for it. And if you believe Diös Fastigheter should be trading in this range, then there isn’t really any room for the share price grow beyond the levels of other industry peers over the long-term. Furthermore, it seems like Diös Fastigheter’s share price is quite stable, which means there may be less chances to buy low in the future now that it’s priced similarly to industry peers. This is because the stock is less volatile than the wider market given its low beta.
Can we expect growth from Diös Fastigheter?
Investors looking for growth in their portfolio may want to consider the prospects of a company before buying its shares. Buying a great company with a robust outlook at a cheap price is always a good investment, so let’s also take a look at the company's future expectations. However, with an extremely negative double-digit change in profit expected over the next couple of years, near-term growth is certainly not a driver of a buy decision. It seems like high uncertainty is on the cards for Diös Fastigheter, at least in the near future.
What This Means For You
Are you a shareholder? DIOS seems priced close to industry peers right now, but given the uncertainty from negative returns in the future, this could be the right time to reduce the risk in your portfolio. Is your current exposure to the stock optimal for your total portfolio? And is the opportunity cost of holding a negative-outlook stock too high? Before you make a decision on DIOS, take a look at whether its fundamentals have changed.
Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping tabs on DIOS for a while, now may not be the most advantageous time to buy, given it is trading around industry price multiples. This means there’s less benefit from mispricing. Furthermore, the negative growth outlook increases the risk of holding the stock. However, there are also other important factors we haven’t considered today, which can help crystallize your views on DIOS should the price fluctuate below the industry PE ratio.
With this in mind, we wouldn't consider investing in a stock unless we had a thorough understanding of the risks. For example, we've found that Diös Fastigheter has 5 warning signs (2 don't sit too well with us!) that deserve your attention before going any further with your analysis.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About OM:DIOS
Diös Fastigheter
Develops, owns, and rents commercial and residential properties in Sweden.
Reasonable growth potential and fair value.