Stock Analysis

Why It Might Not Make Sense To Buy Nyfosa AB (publ) (STO:NYF) For Its Upcoming Dividend

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OM:NYF

Some investors rely on dividends for growing their wealth, and if you're one of those dividend sleuths, you might be intrigued to know that Nyfosa AB (publ) (STO:NYF) is about to go ex-dividend in just three days. The ex-dividend date occurs one day before the record date which is the day on which shareholders need to be on the company's books in order to receive a dividend. The ex-dividend date is important because any transaction on a stock needs to have been settled before the record date in order to be eligible for a dividend. Meaning, you will need to purchase Nyfosa's shares before the 28th of December to receive the dividend, which will be paid on the 4th of January.

The company's next dividend payment will be kr1.00 per share. Last year, in total, the company distributed kr4.00 to shareholders. Based on the last year's worth of payments, Nyfosa stock has a trailing yield of around 4.2% on the current share price of SEK96.05. If you buy this business for its dividend, you should have an idea of whether Nyfosa's dividend is reliable and sustainable. We need to see whether the dividend is covered by earnings and if it's growing.

View our latest analysis for Nyfosa

If a company pays out more in dividends than it earned, then the dividend might become unsustainable - hardly an ideal situation. Nyfosa's dividend is not well covered by earnings, as the company lost money last year. This is not a sustainable state of affairs, so it would be worth investigating if earnings are expected to recover. Considering the lack of profitability, we also need to check if the company generated enough cash flow to cover the dividend payment. If cash earnings don't cover the dividend, the company would have to pay dividends out of cash in the bank, or by borrowing money, neither of which is long-term sustainable. Fortunately, it paid out only 50% of its free cash flow in the past year.

Click here to see the company's payout ratio, plus analyst estimates of its future dividends.

OM:NYF Historic Dividend December 24th 2023

Have Earnings And Dividends Been Growing?

Companies with falling earnings are riskier for dividend shareholders. If earnings decline and the company is forced to cut its dividend, investors could watch the value of their investment go up in smoke. Nyfosa was unprofitable last year and, unfortunately, the general trend suggests its earnings have been in decline over the last five years, making us wonder if the dividend is sustainable at all.

The main way most investors will assess a company's dividend prospects is by checking the historical rate of dividend growth. Nyfosa has delivered an average of 10% per year annual increase in its dividend, based on the past three years of dividend payments.

Get our latest analysis on Nyfosa's balance sheet health here.

To Sum It Up

Has Nyfosa got what it takes to maintain its dividend payments? We're a bit uncomfortable with it paying a dividend while being loss-making. However, we note that the dividend was covered by cash flow. It's not the most attractive proposition from a dividend perspective, and we'd probably give this one a miss for now.

Although, if you're still interested in Nyfosa and want to know more, you'll find it very useful to know what risks this stock faces. For example, we've found 2 warning signs for Nyfosa (1 is a bit concerning!) that deserve your attention before investing in the shares.

If you're in the market for strong dividend payers, we recommend checking our selection of top dividend stocks.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Nyfosa might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.