Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We can see that Hufvudstaden AB (publ) (STO:HUFV A) does use debt in its business. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?
When Is Debt Dangerous?
Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.
How Much Debt Does Hufvudstaden Carry?
You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of December 2024 Hufvudstaden had kr9.80b of debt, an increase on kr9.40b, over one year. However, because it has a cash reserve of kr472.6m, its net debt is less, at about kr9.33b.
A Look At Hufvudstaden's Liabilities
Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Hufvudstaden had liabilities of kr3.66b due within 12 months and liabilities of kr16.6b due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of kr472.6m and kr88.6m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by kr19.7b.
This deficit is considerable relative to its market capitalization of kr22.5b, so it does suggest shareholders should keep an eye on Hufvudstaden's use of debt. Should its lenders demand that it shore up the balance sheet, shareholders would likely face severe dilution.
See our latest analysis for Hufvudstaden
We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.
With a net debt to EBITDA ratio of 6.2, it's fair to say Hufvudstaden does have a significant amount of debt. But the good news is that it boasts fairly comforting interest cover of 5.0 times, suggesting it can responsibly service its obligations. We saw Hufvudstaden grow its EBIT by 5.8% in the last twelve months. Whilst that hardly knocks our socks off it is a positive when it comes to debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Hufvudstaden's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. Over the last three years, Hufvudstaden recorded free cash flow worth a fulsome 83% of its EBIT, which is stronger than we'd usually expect. That positions it well to pay down debt if desirable to do so.
Our View
Neither Hufvudstaden's ability handle its debt, based on its EBITDA, nor its level of total liabilities gave us confidence in its ability to take on more debt. But its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow tells a very different story, and suggests some resilience. We think that Hufvudstaden's debt does make it a bit risky, after considering the aforementioned data points together. Not all risk is bad, as it can boost share price returns if it pays off, but this debt risk is worth keeping in mind. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. To that end, you should be aware of the 2 warning signs we've spotted with Hufvudstaden .
When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
Discover if Hufvudstaden might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About OM:HUFV A
Hufvudstaden
Engages in the ownership, development, and management of commercial properties in Stockholm and Gothenburg, Sweden.
Second-rate dividend payer with limited growth.
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