Stock Analysis

Is Akelius Residential Property (STO:AKEL D) A Risky Investment?

OM:AKEL D
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The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. As with many other companies Akelius Residential Property AB (publ) (STO:AKEL D) makes use of debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for Akelius Residential Property

What Is Akelius Residential Property's Debt?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Akelius Residential Property had €3.18b of debt in December 2024, down from €3.69b, one year before. On the flip side, it has €100.0m in cash leading to net debt of about €3.08b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
OM:AKEL D Debt to Equity History March 18th 2025

How Healthy Is Akelius Residential Property's Balance Sheet?

The latest balance sheet data shows that Akelius Residential Property had liabilities of €1.18b due within a year, and liabilities of €2.17b falling due after that. On the other hand, it had cash of €100.0m and €33.0m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities total €3.22b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

This deficit isn't so bad because Akelius Residential Property is worth a massive €11.5b, and thus could probably raise enough capital to shore up its balance sheet, if the need arose. But we definitely want to keep our eyes open to indications that its debt is bringing too much risk.

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

Akelius Residential Property has a rather high debt to EBITDA ratio of 16.6 which suggests a meaningful debt load. However, its interest coverage of 4.3 is reasonably strong, which is a good sign. However, one redeeming factor is that Akelius Residential Property grew its EBIT at 20% over the last 12 months, boosting its ability to handle its debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Akelius Residential Property will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. Over the last three years, Akelius Residential Property recorded free cash flow worth a fulsome 94% of its EBIT, which is stronger than we'd usually expect. That positions it well to pay down debt if desirable to do so.

Our View

Happily, Akelius Residential Property's impressive conversion of EBIT to free cash flow implies it has the upper hand on its debt. But we must concede we find its net debt to EBITDA has the opposite effect. Looking at all the aforementioned factors together, it strikes us that Akelius Residential Property can handle its debt fairly comfortably. Of course, while this leverage can enhance returns on equity, it does bring more risk, so it's worth keeping an eye on this one. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example, we've discovered 3 warning signs for Akelius Residential Property that you should be aware of before investing here.

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.