Stock Analysis
You may think that with a price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 19x Camurus AB (publ) (STO:CAMX) is a stock to potentially avoid, seeing as almost half of all the Pharmaceuticals companies in Sweden have P/S ratios under 12.8x and even P/S lower than 4x aren't out of the ordinary. However, the P/S might be high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
See our latest analysis for Camurus
How Has Camurus Performed Recently?
Recent times haven't been great for Camurus as its revenue has been rising slower than most other companies. Perhaps the market is expecting future revenue performance to undergo a reversal of fortunes, which has elevated the P/S ratio. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
Keen to find out how analysts think Camurus' future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/S?
In order to justify its P/S ratio, Camurus would need to produce impressive growth in excess of the industry.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a decent 4.9% gain to the company's revenues. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 223% overall rise in revenue, aided somewhat by its short-term performance. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been superb for the company.
Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 53% each year as estimated by the six analysts watching the company. That's shaping up to be materially higher than the 8.8% per year growth forecast for the broader industry.
With this information, we can see why Camurus is trading at such a high P/S compared to the industry. It seems most investors are expecting this strong future growth and are willing to pay more for the stock.
The Key Takeaway
Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.
We've established that Camurus maintains its high P/S on the strength of its forecasted revenue growth being higher than the the rest of the Pharmaceuticals industry, as expected. Right now shareholders are comfortable with the P/S as they are quite confident future revenues aren't under threat. Unless these conditions change, they will continue to provide strong support to the share price.
There are also other vital risk factors to consider before investing and we've discovered 2 warning signs for Camurus that you should be aware of.
It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About OM:CAMX
Camurus
A biopharmaceutical company, develops and commercializes medicines for severe and chronic conditions in Europe, Australia, the United States, and internationally.