Stock Analysis

Embracer Group (OM:EMBRAC B) Valuation Check After Second Quarter Earnings Show Narrowed Losses

Embracer Group (OM:EMBRAC B) has just published its second quarter results, revealing a drop in sales and revenue compared to last year. However, the company managed to dramatically reduce its net loss year on year.

See our latest analysis for Embracer Group.

Embracer Group’s earnings release follows a challenging stretch for the shares, which have seen a sharp drop recently but a small recovery in the last 90 days. While the latest results show operational improvement, the 1-year total shareholder return of -8.5% and the steep year-to-date share price decline suggest momentum is still fading for now.

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With profits improving but sales continuing to lag, the key question is whether Embracer Group’s current share price reflects all the recent challenges. Investors may also consider whether this dip could present an opportunity to buy before recovery accelerates.

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Most Popular Narrative: 28% Undervalued

Embracer Group’s most widely followed narrative suggests the shares are trading well below fair value, with a significant gap between the current price and analysts’ consensus. Despite the share price rebounding in the latest quarter, there is sizable upside if major catalysts unfold as forecast.

The company is reallocating capital and operational focus toward its established core IPs (e.g., Lord of the Rings, Tomb Raider), expecting to double their investment allocation into these higher-return franchises this year and significantly expand recurring revenues through sequels, DLCs, and transmedia extensions. This is expected to drive improved revenue and gross margin.

Read the complete narrative.

Want to know why the market could be underestimating Embracer’s pivot? The value drivers behind this bold valuation focus on new IP strategies, changing franchise investments, and an intense shift toward cash flow discipline. Which levers are analysts betting on for recovery? Dive deeper to discover which projections they’re counting on and what could make or break the upside in their fair value target.

Result: Fair Value of $118 (UNDERVALUED)

Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what's behind the forecasts.

However, persistent declines in key game releases or ongoing margin pressure could challenge the upbeat outlook and put further strain on Embracer’s recovery hopes.

Find out about the key risks to this Embracer Group narrative.

Build Your Own Embracer Group Narrative

If you have a different perspective or enjoy drawing your own conclusions from the numbers, take a moment to build your own view of Embracer Group’s outlook in just a few minutes with Do it your way.

A great starting point for your Embracer Group research is our analysis highlighting 3 key rewards and 2 important warning signs that could impact your investment decision.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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