Beyond Lackluster Earnings: Potential Concerns For Embracer Group's (STO:EMBRAC B) Shareholders

Embracer Group AB (publ)'s (STO:EMBRAC B) lackluster earnings announcement last week disappointed investors. We think that they may have more to worry about than just soft profit numbers.

View our latest analysis for Embracer Group

To understand the value of a company's earnings growth, it is imperative to consider any dilution of shareholders' interests. In fact, Embracer Group increased the number of shares on issue by 6.4% over the last twelve months by issuing new shares. As a result, its net income is now split between a greater number of shares. Per share metrics like EPS help us understand how much actual shareholders are benefitting from the company's profits, while the net income level gives us a better view of the company's absolute size. Check out Embracer Group's historical EPS growth by clicking on this link.

How Is Dilution Impacting Embracer Group's Earnings Per Share (EPS)?

Embracer Group has improved its profit over the last three years, with an annualized gain of 162% in that time. But EPS was only up 56% per year, in the exact same period. Net income was down 82% over the last twelve months. But the EPS result was even worse, with the company recording a decline of 85%. Therefore, the dilution is having a noteworthy influence on shareholder returns.

If Embracer Group's EPS can grow over time then that drastically improves the chances of the share price moving in the same direction. But on the other hand, we'd be far less excited to learn profit (but not EPS) was improving. For that reason, you could say that EPS is more important that net income in the long run, assuming the goal is to assess whether a company's share price might grow.

That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.

The Impact Of Unusual Items On Profit

Finally, we should also consider the fact that unusual items boosted Embracer Group's net profit by kr1.9b over the last year. We can't deny that higher profits generally leave us optimistic, but we'd prefer it if the profit were to be sustainable. We ran the numbers on most publicly listed companies worldwide, and it's very common for unusual items to be once-off in nature. Which is hardly surprising, given the name. Embracer Group had a rather significant contribution from unusual items relative to its profit to December 2023. As a result, we can surmise that the unusual items are making its statutory profit significantly stronger than it would otherwise be.

Our Take On Embracer Group's Profit Performance

To sum it all up, Embracer Group got a nice boost to profit from unusual items; without that, its statutory results would have looked worse. And furthermore, it went and issued plenty of new shares, ensuring that each shareholder (who did not tip more money in) now owns a smaller proportion of the company. Considering all this we'd argue Embracer Group's profits probably give an overly generous impression of its sustainable level of profitability. In light of this, if you'd like to do more analysis on the company, it's vital to be informed of the risks involved. Every company has risks, and we've spotted 3 warning signs for Embracer Group you should know about.

In this article we've looked at a number of factors that can impair the utility of profit numbers, and we've come away cautious. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.