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- Paper and Forestry Products
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- OM:SCA B
These 4 Measures Indicate That Svenska Cellulosa Aktiebolaget (STO:SCA B) Is Using Debt Extensively
Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We note that Svenska Cellulosa Aktiebolaget SCA (publ) (STO:SCA B) does have debt on its balance sheet. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?
When Is Debt A Problem?
Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.
See our latest analysis for Svenska Cellulosa Aktiebolaget
How Much Debt Does Svenska Cellulosa Aktiebolaget Carry?
As you can see below, at the end of June 2023, Svenska Cellulosa Aktiebolaget had kr11.5b of debt, up from kr10.9b a year ago. Click the image for more detail. Net debt is about the same, since the it doesn't have much cash.
A Look At Svenska Cellulosa Aktiebolaget's Liabilities
The latest balance sheet data shows that Svenska Cellulosa Aktiebolaget had liabilities of kr6.97b due within a year, and liabilities of kr34.5b falling due after that. On the other hand, it had cash of kr222.0m and kr3.95b worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities total kr37.3b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.
This deficit isn't so bad because Svenska Cellulosa Aktiebolaget is worth kr97.0b, and thus could probably raise enough capital to shore up its balance sheet, if the need arose. But we definitely want to keep our eyes open to indications that its debt is bringing too much risk.
We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).
We'd say that Svenska Cellulosa Aktiebolaget's moderate net debt to EBITDA ratio ( being 1.8), indicates prudence when it comes to debt. And its strong interest cover of 25.0 times, makes us even more comfortable. Shareholders should be aware that Svenska Cellulosa Aktiebolaget's EBIT was down 38% last year. If that earnings trend continues then paying off its debt will be about as easy as herding cats on to a roller coaster. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Svenska Cellulosa Aktiebolaget can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. Looking at the most recent three years, Svenska Cellulosa Aktiebolaget recorded free cash flow of 21% of its EBIT, which is weaker than we'd expect. That weak cash conversion makes it more difficult to handle indebtedness.
Our View
Svenska Cellulosa Aktiebolaget's EBIT growth rate and conversion of EBIT to free cash flow definitely weigh on it, in our esteem. But the good news is it seems to be able to cover its interest expense with its EBIT with ease. Taking the abovementioned factors together we do think Svenska Cellulosa Aktiebolaget's debt poses some risks to the business. While that debt can boost returns, we think the company has enough leverage now. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 3 warning signs for Svenska Cellulosa Aktiebolaget you should know about.
When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About OM:SCA B
Svenska Cellulosa Aktiebolaget
A forest products company, develops, manufactures, and sells forest, wood, pulp, and containerboard products in Sweden, the United States, Germany, the United Kingdom, rest of Europe, Asia, and internationally.
Adequate balance sheet with limited growth.