Stock Analysis

Bergs Timber's (STO:BRG B) Shareholders Will Receive A Bigger Dividend Than Last Year

OM:BRG B
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Bergs Timber AB (publ) (STO:BRG B) has announced that it will be increasing its dividend on the 12th of May to kr0.30. This will take the dividend yield from 5.6% to 5.6%, providing a nice boost to shareholder returns.

View our latest analysis for Bergs Timber

Bergs Timber's Earnings Easily Cover the Distributions

While it is great to have a strong dividend yield, we should also consider whether the payment is sustainable. Bergs Timber is quite easily earning enough to cover the dividend, however it is being let down by weak cash flows. In general, we consider cash flow to be more important than earnings, so we would be cautious about relying on the sustainability of this dividend.

Looking forward, earnings per share is forecast to fall by 51.8% over the next year. Assuming the dividend continues along recent trends, we believe the payout ratio could be 69%, which we are pretty comfortable with and we think is feasible on an earnings basis.

historic-dividend
OM:BRG B Historic Dividend April 2nd 2022

Bergs Timber's Dividend Has Lacked Consistency

Even in its short history, we have seen the dividend cut. Since 2018, the first annual payment was kr0.05, compared to the most recent full-year payment of kr0.30. This means that it has been growing its distributions at 57% per annum over that time. Despite the rapid growth in the dividend over the past number of years, we have seen the payments go down the past as well, so that makes us cautious.

The Dividend Looks Likely To Grow

Given that the dividend has been cut in the past, we need to check if earnings are growing and if that might lead to stronger dividends in the future. We are encouraged to see that Bergs Timber has grown earnings per share at 31% per year over the past five years. Earnings per share is growing at a solid clip, and the payout ratio is low which we think is an ideal combination in a dividend stock as the company can quite easily raise the dividend in the future.

In Summary

In summary, while it's always good to see the dividend being raised, we don't think Bergs Timber's payments are rock solid. With cash flows lacking, it is difficult to see how the company can sustain a dividend payment. We would probably look elsewhere for an income investment.

Companies possessing a stable dividend policy will likely enjoy greater investor interest than those suffering from a more inconsistent approach. However, there are other things to consider for investors when analysing stock performance. Just as an example, we've come across 3 warning signs for Bergs Timber you should be aware of, and 2 of them don't sit too well with us. Looking for more high-yielding dividend ideas? Try our collection of strong dividend payers.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.