Stock Analysis

Paxman (STO:PAX) Is Making Moderate Use Of Debt

OM:PAX
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Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. Importantly, Paxman AB (publ) (STO:PAX) does carry debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

Check out our latest analysis for Paxman

What Is Paxman's Debt?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of December 2020 Paxman had kr48.2m of debt, an increase on kr31.5m, over one year. However, it does have kr3.58m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about kr44.7m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
OM:PAX Debt to Equity History March 16th 2021

A Look At Paxman's Liabilities

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Paxman had liabilities of kr48.7m due within 12 months and liabilities of kr17.4m due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of kr3.58m and kr12.0m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities total kr50.6m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

Given Paxman has a market capitalization of kr640.5m, it's hard to believe these liabilities pose much threat. But there are sufficient liabilities that we would certainly recommend shareholders continue to monitor the balance sheet, going forward. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is Paxman's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

Over 12 months, Paxman made a loss at the EBIT level, and saw its revenue drop to kr83m, which is a fall of 13%. That's not what we would hope to see.

Caveat Emptor

While Paxman's falling revenue is about as heartwarming as a wet blanket, arguably its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss is even less appealing. To be specific the EBIT loss came in at kr12m. Considering that alongside the liabilities mentioned above does not give us much confidence that company should be using so much debt. Quite frankly we think the balance sheet is far from match-fit, although it could be improved with time. Another cause for caution is that is bled kr8.5m in negative free cash flow over the last twelve months. So to be blunt we think it is risky. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 4 warning signs for Paxman (of which 2 make us uncomfortable!) you should know about.

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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