Stock Analysis

Lohilo Foods AB (publ)'s (STO:LOHILO) Popularity With Investors Under Threat As Stock Sinks 27%

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OM:LOHILO

To the annoyance of some shareholders, Lohilo Foods AB (publ) (STO:LOHILO) shares are down a considerable 27% in the last month, which continues a horrid run for the company. Longer-term shareholders will rue the drop in the share price, since it's now virtually flat for the year after a promising few quarters.

Although its price has dipped substantially, there still wouldn't be many who think Lohilo Foods' price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.3x is worth a mention when the median P/S in Sweden's Food industry is similar at about 0.7x. While this might not raise any eyebrows, if the P/S ratio is not justified investors could be missing out on a potential opportunity or ignoring looming disappointment.

View our latest analysis for Lohilo Foods

OM:LOHILO Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry November 29th 2024

What Does Lohilo Foods' Recent Performance Look Like?

For example, consider that Lohilo Foods' financial performance has been pretty ordinary lately as revenue growth is non-existent. It might be that many expect the uninspiring revenue performance to only match most other companies at best over the coming period, which has kept the P/S from rising. If not, then existing shareholders may be feeling hopeful about the future direction of the share price.

Although there are no analyst estimates available for Lohilo Foods, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.

How Is Lohilo Foods' Revenue Growth Trending?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, Lohilo Foods would need to produce growth that's similar to the industry.

Taking a look back first, we see that there was hardly any revenue growth to speak of for the company over the past year. Whilst it's an improvement, it wasn't enough to get the company out of the hole it was in, with revenue down 19% overall from three years ago. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been undesirable for the company.

In contrast to the company, the rest of the industry is expected to grow by 3.4% over the next year, which really puts the company's recent medium-term revenue decline into perspective.

With this in mind, we find it worrying that Lohilo Foods' P/S exceeds that of its industry peers. Apparently many investors in the company are way less bearish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. There's a good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the recent negative growth rates.

The Key Takeaway

Following Lohilo Foods' share price tumble, its P/S is just clinging on to the industry median P/S. Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

Our look at Lohilo Foods revealed its shrinking revenues over the medium-term haven't impacted the P/S as much as we anticipated, given the industry is set to grow. Even though it matches the industry, we're uncomfortable with the current P/S ratio, as this dismal revenue performance is unlikely to support a more positive sentiment for long. Unless the the circumstances surrounding the recent medium-term improve, it wouldn't be wrong to expect a a difficult period ahead for the company's shareholders.

Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 4 warning signs for Lohilo Foods (3 shouldn't be ignored) you should be aware of.

If you're unsure about the strength of Lohilo Foods' business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.